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Dynamic Reliability Based Performance Measures for Multi-state Systems.

机译:多状态系统的基于动态可靠性的性能度量。

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摘要

Traditional reliability methods describe systems as binary, but real life systems usually have multiple states of operation that describe more accurately their performance. The computation of reliability for complex systems modeled by multiple multi-state components is critical for engineers, researchers and scientists, but the computational complexity grows as the number of components increase. This research presents models and methods that allow the system designer to determine the reliability of a multi-state system based on individual reliabilities of multi-state components. Equivalence classes are used with minimal conjunction and minimal disjunction in order to compute the system reliability. This helps with the reduction of computations in most cases by finding vectors that dominate states of the system instead of performing computations using all the states of the system, and it also captures sensitivity of the reliability of the system due to the performance of some components. Dynamic reliability bounds are also presented for multi-state systems with multi-state components using an iterative process. Bounds are more convenient for large systems because finding the exact reliability is computationally a very hard problem. Systems considered in this research can degrade to any lower state at the system level and also at the component level. An application is presented for a simple flow transmission system. The analysis becomes very complex even for a system with few components with small number of states. Customer-centered models are presented using homogeneous continuous time Markov processes. System designers are interested in evaluating systems based on preferences of the customers. Utility and disutility functions reflecting the preference of the customer towards certain system-performance levels are presented and superimposed in models for decision analysis and risk management.
机译:传统的可靠性方法将系统描述为二进制,但是现实生活中的系统通常具有多种运行状态,这些状态可以更准确地描述其性能。对于由多个多状态组件建模的复杂系统,可靠性的计算对于工程师,研究人员和科学家而言至关重要,但是随着组件数量的增加,计算复杂性也随之增加。这项研究提出了一些模型和方法,这些模型和方法使系统设计人员可以根据多状态组件的个体可靠性来确定多状态系统的可靠性。等效类与最小合取和最小析取一起使用,以便计算系统可靠性。在大多数情况下,这有助于减少计算量,方法是找到主导系统状态的向量,而不是使用系统的所有状态执行计算,并且由于某些组件的性能,它还可以捕获系统可靠性的敏感性。还使用迭代过程为具有多状态组件的多状态系统提供了动态可靠性范围。边界对于大型系统更方便,因为找到精确的可靠性在计算上是一个非常困难的问题。本研究中考虑的系统可以在系统级别以及组件级别降级为任何较低状态。提出了一种用于简单的流传输系统的应用。即使对于只有少数几个状态数少的系统,分析也变得非常复杂。使用同类连续时间马尔可夫过程展示了以客户为中心的模型。系统设计人员对根据客户的偏好评估系统感兴趣。反映了客户对某些系统性能级别的偏爱的效用和非实用功能被呈现并叠加在决策分析和风险管理模型中。

著录项

  • 作者单位

    University of Washington.;

  • 授予单位 University of Washington.;
  • 学科 Engineering Industrial.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2010
  • 页码 205 p.
  • 总页数 205
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:36:56

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