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An assessment of the impact of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) on the U.S. textile industry's production activities: Qualitative and quantitative approaches.

机译:北美自由贸易协定(NAFTA)对美国纺织工业生产活动的影响评估:定性和定量方法。

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摘要

The implementation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) between the United States, Canada, and Mexico created a barrier-free production and trade zone in North America. Surrounding the implementation of NAFTA, a great volume of public, political, and academic attention was given to the impact of the agreement on the aging U.S. textile industry with high labor costs. The major NAFTA provisions, the elimination of tariffs and quotas and rules of origin, were predicted to create and divert U.S. trade in textile goods and expand domestic textile production activities. Since its implementation, however, volatile macroeconomic and political environmental changes have severely interfered with the role of NAFTA.;Over ten years have passed since the implementation of NAFTA. The objectives of this research are to investigate the pattern of the U.S. textile industry's production activities under NAFTA and to determine the impact of the agreement on the industry's production activities. This research consists of two parts. Part I is a qualitative analysis that investigates changes in the industry's trade and production activities under NAFTA based on the review of literature and trade and industry data. Part II of this research, a quantitative analysis, applies a normalized restricted translog profit model to the textile industry's production activities under the influence of NAFTA in order to identify the pattern of the industry's output supply and input demand and to determine the impact of NAFTA on the industry. The outcomes of these analyses are used to make an overall assessment of the impact of NAFTA on the U.S. textile industry and draw policy implications.;The outcome of the qualitative analysis suggests NAFTA as an effective policy in expanding and regionalizing U.S. trades in textile goods and promoting domestic textile production activities in the early years of implementation. Since the late 1990s, however, macroeconomic and political changes have dominated over the role of NAFTA, partially undoing the changes in U.S. textile trade and production activities made in the early years of the agreement. The outcome of quantitative analysis identifies the significant but negative effect of NAFTA on the U.S. textile industry's profit performance in the early years of NAFTA, probably due to intensified import competition, fall of real output prices, and numerous mill closings. Overall, NAFTA is recognized as a short-term, transitional policy measure for the U.S. textile industry because of the limited importance of Mexico in U.S. textile trade, the short period of NAFTA implementation, and several dynamic environmental factors including exchange rate changes, U.S. signings of multiple regional trade agreements, and the emerging dominance of China in world textile trade under the phase-out of the Multi-fiber Arrangement that have changed international and domestic textile market competition. Ultimately, this study concludes that a trade policy is not likely to provide a long-term solution for the survival of U.S. textile industry.
机译:美国,加拿大和墨西哥之间实施的《北美自由贸易协定》(NAFTA)在北美建立了无障碍生产和贸易区。围绕NAFTA的实施,该协议对劳动力成本高昂的老龄化美国纺织业的影响引起了公众,政治和学术上的大量关注。北美自由贸易协定的主要规定,即取消关税和配额以及原产地规则,预计将创造并转移美国纺织品贸易并扩大国内纺织品生产活动。但是,自实施以来,动荡的宏观经济和政治环境变化严重干扰了北美自由贸易协定的作用。自北美自由贸易协定实施以来已经过去了十多年。这项研究的目的是调查北美自由贸易协定下的美国纺织工业生产活动的模式,并确定该协议对工业生产活动的影响。这项研究包括两个部分。第一部分是定性分析,它基于对文献以及贸易和行业数据的回顾,研究了北美自由贸易协定下该行业的贸易和生产活动的变化。本研究的第二部分是定量分析,在NAFTA的影响下,将归一化的受限对数利润模型应用于纺织行业的生产活动,以便确定行业的产出供应和投入需求的模式,并确定NAFTA对纺织业的影响。行业。这些分析的结果用于对NAFTA对美国纺织业的影响进行总体评估,并得出政策含义。定性分析的结果表明NAFTA是扩大和区域化美国纺织品贸易的有效政策。在实施的初期,促进国内纺织品生产活动。但是,自1990年代后期以来,宏观经济和政治变化主导了北美自由贸易协定的作用,部分抵消了协议初期几年美国纺织品贸易和生产活动的变化。定量分析的结果表明,北美自由贸易协定在北美自由贸易协定成立初期对美国纺织业的利润表现具有重大但负面的影响,这可能是由于进口竞争加剧,实际产出价格下跌以及许多工厂关闭造成的。总体而言,由于墨西哥在美国纺织品贸易中的重要性有限,实施《北美自由贸易协定》的时间很短,以及包括汇率变动,美国签约在内的若干动态环境因素,因此,北美自由贸易协定被认为是美国纺织业的一项短期过渡政策措施。多个区域贸易协定的签署,以及在逐步淘汰《多纤维安排》下中国在世界纺织品贸易中的主导地位改变了国际和国内纺织品市场的竞争。最终,这项研究得出的结论是,贸易政策不可能为美国纺织业的生存提供长期解决方案。

著录项

  • 作者

    Lim, Mikyung.;

  • 作者单位

    Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University.;

  • 授予单位 Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University.;
  • 学科 Home Economics.;Economics General.;Economics Commerce-Business.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2006
  • 页码 149 p.
  • 总页数 149
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 家庭管理、家庭生活、家庭服务;经济学;贸易经济;
  • 关键词

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