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首页> 外文学位 >Modeling Water Markets and Related Policies: The Case of Irrigation in Southern Cyprus.
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Modeling Water Markets and Related Policies: The Case of Irrigation in Southern Cyprus.

机译：建立水市场模型和相关政策：以塞浦路斯南部的灌溉为例。

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摘要

This dissertation presents a model water market using the island of Cyprus as a case study. It explores how the agricultural economics of the region would be affected by the water market. Policy changes addressing concerns from the market results are then suggested and applied to the model.;A simple and generalizable model was made to simulate two types of water markets which allows for water trading within and between irrigation districts. This water market featured the concept of a survival level of water, a volume of water set aside for permanent crops to keep them alive. This allowed permanent crops to be included in the water market. This model was applied to a series of irrigation districts along the southern shore of Cyprus connected via the Southern Conveyor Project.;Results show the potential for great improvements to overall net agricultural benefits in the region if both water markets were in place. Specifically results show that most of the increases in net profits gained are from trading within each district rather than from trading between districts. Results also imply that currently while physical water scarcity exists in that the demands cannot be fully met, there usually is no water scarcity from an economic standpoint.;Two policies options are introduced to better improve the economic conditions based on the trends seen in the model results. It is observed from the model that certain permanent crops are not profitable, yet currently represent a large volume of the water demand. Under a water market, these crops would always sell all their water allocations to others. The two policies addressed this directly and allow the water managers in the government of Cyprus to respond directly to the water demands from permanent crops. One policy addresses permanent crops that consistently sold their water in a water market; the other policy specifically addresses olive crops only. Results from both policies show significant improvements over running a basic water market without them being used.
机译：本文以塞浦路斯岛为例，提出了一个水市场模型。它探讨了该地区的农业经济将如何受到水市场的影响。然后，提出了针对市场结果关注的政策变化的建议，并将其应用到模型中。制作了一个简单而可概括的模型来模拟两种类型的水市场，从而允许在灌溉区域内和之间进行水交易。这个水市场的特色是水的生存水平，即为永久性作物保留一定量的水，以使它们存活。这使永久性作物被纳入水市场。该模型已应用于通过南部输送机项目连接的塞浦路斯南岸的一系列灌溉区。结果表明，如果两个水市场均到位，则有可能极大改善该地区的总体农业净收益。具体的结果表明，获得的净利润增长的大部分来自每个区域内的交易，而不是区域之间的交易。结果还表明，当前虽然存在物理上的水资源短缺，无法完全满足需求，但从经济角度来看通常没有水资源短缺;;根据模型中的趋势，引入了两种政策选择以更好地改善经济状况结果。从模型中可以看出，某些永久性作物无利可图，但目前代表了大量的需水量。在水市场下，这些农作物总是将其所有的配水卖给他人。两项政策直接解决了这一问题，并允许塞浦路斯政府的水管理人员直接响应永久作物的水需求。一项政策针对的是永久性作物，这些作物在水市场上一直卖水。其他政策专门针对橄榄作物。两项政策的结果都表明，在不使用基础水市场的情况下，运营取得了重大进步。

著录项

  • 作者

    Liang, Linda.;

  • 作者单位

    Harvard University.;

  • 授予单位 Harvard University.;
  • 学科 Economics Agricultural.;Water Resource Management.;Engineering Environmental.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2010
  • 页码 144 p.
  • 总页数 144
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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