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Political economy of free trade agreements in China, Japan and South Korea: Sectoral and national security politics of the fta wave.

机译：中国，日本和韩国的自由贸易协定的政治经济学：FTA浪潮的部门和国家安全政治。

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摘要

Over the course of three essays, this dissertation examines three important questions regarding free trade agreements (FTAs) in China, Japan, and South Korea (CJK), the three main economies of Northeast Asia: Under what conditions are CJK most likely to establish an FTA? Which factors most significantly influenced U.S. Congressional voting on the Korean-U.S. Free Trade Agreement (KORUS FTA)? Is the establishment of a multilateral FTA among China, Japan, and South Korea (a CJK FTA) possible and, if so, what is the optimal path towards achieving it? In answering these questions, the cumulative findings indicate that an FTA is the result of sectoral and national security politics rather than a calculation based on economic optimality. The first essay finds that CJK are most likely to establish an FTA when politically potent industry interest groups (IIGs) favor it. This study also finds that the impacts of FTA determinants vary depending on what stage the FTA formation process is in. For example, political institutions are likely to influence FTA formation in the initial stages but are prone to lose their influence as the process moves forward. In the final stage, support from IIGs is the driving force. Another significant finding is that political leaders are likely to choose their FTA partners in the context of national security politics. As the first empirical analysis of US Congressional voting on the KORUS FTA, the major findings of the second essay indicate that constituent interest was a highly significant predictor of US legislators' voting. Moreover, constituent interests play a more significant role in the House of Representatives rather than the Senate. National security considerations were also found to greatly influence legislators' voting. The third study mainly finds that, although the two possible bilateral FTAs (a China-Korea FTA or Japan-Korea FTA) are more feasible than a CJK FTA, neither is likely to serve as a stepping-stone to multilateral FTA formation. Consequently, a multilateral path is optimal, and therefore, CJK should simultaneously participate in a single round of trade negotiations in order to establish a multilateral FTA.
机译：在三篇论文的过程中，本文研究了与中国，日本和韩国（CJK）（东北亚的三个主要经济体）有关的三个重要问题：在什么条件下，中日韩最有可能建立自由贸易协定。自由贸易协定？哪些因素对美国国会对韩美自由贸易协定（KORUS FTA）的投票产生了最大影响？在中国，日本和韩国之间建立多边自由贸易协定（中日韩自由贸易协定）是否可能？如果可以，实现这一目标的最佳途径是什么？在回答这些问题时，累积的发现表明，自由贸易协定是部门和国家安全政治的结果，而不是基于经济最优性的计算。第一篇文章发现，在具有政治影响力的行业利益团体（IIG）支持的情况下，中日韩最有可能建立自由贸易区。这项研究还发现，FTA决定因素的影响取决于FTA形成过程所处的阶段。例如，政治制度很可能会在初始阶段影响FTA的形成，但随着过程的进行，很容易失去影响力。在最后阶段，来自IIG的支持是推动力。另一个重要发现是，政治领导人可能会在国家安全政治的背景下选择其自由贸易协定的伙伴。作为对美国国会对KORUS FTA投票进行的第一项实证分析，第二篇论文的主要发现表明，选民利益是美国立法者投票的重要预测指标。而且，组成利益在众议院而不是参议院中起着更重要的作用。还发现国家安全方面的考虑因素极大地影响了立法者的投票。第三项研究主要发现，尽管两个可能的双边FTA（中韩FTA或日韩FTA）比中日韩FTA更为可行，但它们都不大可能成为多边FTA形成的垫脚石。因此，一条多边道路是最优的，因此，中日韩应该同时参加一轮贸易谈判，以建立多边自由贸易协定。

著录项

  • 作者

    Choi, Youngmi.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee.;
  • 学科 Political Science International Relations.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2013
  • 页码 167 p.
  • 总页数 167
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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