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Problems in Sub -Saharan African economic development: An analysis of the economic causes of civil wars.

机译：撒哈拉以南非洲经济发展中的问题：内战的经济原因分析。

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摘要

This study has started with a review of the literature on the structural problems inherent in Sub-Saharan African economic growth. It then proceeded to investigate the economic causes of civil wars in Sub-Saharan Africa relying heavily on the Collier-Hoffler model of civil wars developed by Paul Collier and Anke Hoeffler.;The study has attempted to mimic the methodology of Collier and Hoeffler with the exception that additional independent variables (income inequality and minimum democracy) were tested using different measures of these variables.;Thus, I used logistic regression to model war starts as a function of GDP per capita, GDP growth rate, ratio of primary commodity exports to GDP, income inequality, population, social fractionalization, ethnic dominance (45--90%), geographic dispersion, minimum democracy and sub-Saharan African dummy. The regression results found income inequality to be statistically significant to the onset of civil wars in Sub-Saharan Africa. This may mean that the factors that explain war proness are not only primary commodity exports as Collier and Hoeffler have asserted but also the inequitable distribution of resources, which creates income inequality and poverty, factors that favor rebel recruitment.;The econometric model was used to investigate the civil in Sierra Leone. The investigations arrived at the following conclusions: First, that the presence of natural resources does not by itself explain why civil war broke out in Sierra Leone. Sierra Leone's war was the result of the mismanagement of the country's natural resources, and by extension the rest of the economy by a predatory national government. This led to a poor distribution of income and eventual economic collapse. Second, the natural resource curse also played an important role in the onset of conflict as the concentration of government resources in the diamond industry constrained agricultural and overall economic growth thereby entrenching poverty and fostering crime and violence. Third, the war in neighboring Liberia had a direct impact on war in Sierra Leone through a spillover effect. The study concluded that war proness in Sub-Saharan Africa is not only limited to primary commodity exports but also the inequitable distribution of resources, which creates income inequality.
机译：这项研究始于对撒哈拉以南非洲经济增长所固有的结构性问题的文献进行回顾。然后，它主要依靠Paul Collier和Anke Hoeffler开发的Collier-Hoffler内战模型来研究撒哈拉以南非洲内战的经济原因;该研究试图用以下方法模仿Collier和Hoeffler的方法例外情况是，另外的自变量（收入不平等和最低民主程度）使用这些变量的不同度量进行了检验。因此，我使用逻辑回归对战争开始进行了建模，该函数是人均GDP，GDP增长率，初级商品出口与GDP，收入不平等，人口，社会分化，种族优势（45--90％），地理分散，最低民主和撒哈拉以南非洲虚拟人。回归结果发现，收入不平等对撒哈拉以南非洲内战的爆发具有统计学意义。这可能意味着解释战争倾向的因素不仅是科利尔和霍夫勒所断言的主要商品出口，而且是资源分配不均，造成收入不平等和贫困的因素，这些因素有利于反叛者的招募。调查塞拉利昂的平民。调查得出以下结论：首先，自然资源的存在本身并不能解释为什么塞拉利昂爆发内战。塞拉利昂的战争是该国自然资源管理不善的结果，也是掠夺性国家政府扩大了经济的其余部分的结果。这导致收入分配不均，最终导致经济崩溃。第二，自然资源的诅咒在冲突的爆发中也发挥了重要作用，因为政府资源集中在钻石行业限制了农业和整体经济增长，从而加剧了贫困并加剧了犯罪和暴力。第三，邻国利比里亚的战争通过溢出效应直接影响了塞拉利昂的战争。该研究得出的结论是，撒哈拉以南非洲的战争热情不仅限于初级商品出口，而且还包括资源分配不均，这造成了收入不平等。

著录项

  • 作者

    Jusu, Ambrose R.;

  • 作者单位

    New School University.;

  • 授予单位 New School University.;
  • 学科 Economics.;African history.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2005
  • 页码 244 p.
  • 总页数 244
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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