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Reflections on international relations theory and its relevance to the twenty-first century: The need to incorporate a complex approach.

机译：关于国际关系理论及其与二十一世纪的关系的思考：需要采用复杂的方法。

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This paper focuses on the problem that security studies has not adequately incorporated complex analytical methods. Current analytical methodologies used in social sciences adhere to reductionist approaches. This approach is useful under certain conditions, but the world has changed a great deal since end of the cold war, and the comfortable familiarity of the bipolar competition between the two superpowers is no longer relevant. Complex analyses deal with the interactions between agents, and coactions of agents in a given environment. Feedback is pervasive in such systems, and can lead to criticality events, phase transitions, and adaptations by the system. There is interplay, therefore, between the micro-level behavior of self-organizing agents and the macro-level characteristics of the system that are sensitive to bottom-up perturbations. This paper will survey the current analytical approaches to theorizing about war and international politics to identify whether there is a problem, if it is getting worse, and then examine how complex analyses may be the solution by supplementing deterministic methods. Theory is fundamental to comprehension, and necessary for individuals at the highest level of government to understand and advance the interests of their country in the international arena. Thus, for strategic thinking to advance, theory must advance; for theory to advance, security studies should embrace complex analytical techniques already being applied in the hard sciences.

机译：本文关注的问题是安全性研究尚未充分纳入复杂的分析方法。当前社会科学中使用的分析方法遵循还原论方法。这种方法在某些条件下是有用的，但是自冷战结束以来，世界已经发生了很大变化，而且两个超级大国之间的两极竞争的舒适性不再适用。复杂分析处理代理商之间的相互作用以及给定环境中代理商的相互作用。反馈在此类系统中无处不在，并且可能导致系统发生临界事件，相变和适应。因此，自组织代理的微观行为与对自下而上的扰动敏感的系统的宏观特性之间存在相互作用。本文将调查当前关于战争和国际政治的理论分析方法，以确定是否存在问题，如果问题变得更加严重，然后研究补充确定性方法可以解决复杂的分析问题。理论是理解的基础，也是政府最高级别的个人了解和增进本国在国际舞台上的利益所必需的。因此，为了使战略思想前进，理论必须前进。为了使理论发展，安全研究应包含已经在硬科学中应用的复杂分析技术。

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作者
Farrell, Sean M.;
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作者单位

Georgetown University.;

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授予单位 Georgetown University.;
学科 Political Science International Relations.
学位 M.A.
年度 2011
页码 65 p.
总页数 65
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
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机译：purver，Ronald G. arms Control：区域方法。金斯敦，女王大学国际关系中心，Coll。 «国家安全系列»，1981年1月1日，第154页。 purver，北方的Ronald G. arms Control。金斯敦，女王大学国际关系中心，Coll。 «国家安全系列»，没有5/81,1981,171页。游侠，罗宾。重新审视武器控制经验：理论与实践中的军备控制1958-1981。金斯敦，女王大学国际关系中心，Coll。 «国家安全系列»，1981年2月8日，82页。

Reflections on international relations theory and its relevance to the twenty-first century: The need to incorporate a complex approach.

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