首页> 外文学位 >Behavioural realism in a technology explicit energy-economy model: The adoption of industrial cogeneration in Canada.
【24h】

Behavioural realism in a technology explicit energy-economy model: The adoption of industrial cogeneration in Canada.

机译:技术显性能源经济模型中的行为现实主义:加拿大工业热电联产的采用。

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例

摘要

Traditional models to explore the effects of environmental energy policies suffer from fundamental theoretical weaknesses that limit their usefulness to policy makers. In particular, top down models lack technological detail and so cannot be used to fully explore policies influencing technology diffusion. Their traditional alternative, bottom-up models, lacks behavioural realism and so cannot be trusted to realistically simulate outcomes in the energy economy.;This paper demonstrates how discrete choice models can be used to inform the behavioural parameters of a hybrid model by estimating a discrete choice model of the industrial steam generation technology decision. A survey of 259 industrial firms in Canada was administered in 2002 and a discrete choice model was estimated from the results. The model showed that industrial cogeneration is a relatively unknown technology to many firms. Among those that were familiar with cogeneration, its high capital cost often limited its appeal. The survey results also revealed that the electricity savings offered through a cogeneration system are valued extremely highly by firms. (Abstract shortened by UMI.).;In the past two decades, hybrid models have emerged with the objective of overcoming the weaknesses of the traditional energy models. Hybrid models essentially merge bottom-up and top-down methodologies and so require an understanding of consumer behaviour at the technological level. Discrete choice models can provide this technology specific behavioural information to hybrid models.
机译:探索环境能源政策影响的传统模型存在一些基本的理论缺陷,这些缺陷使政策制定者无法使用这些模型。特别是,自上而下的模型缺乏技术细节,因此无法用于全面探索影响技术扩散的政策。他们传统的自下而上的替代模型缺乏行为现实主义,因此不能被信任地真实地模拟能源经济中的结果。;本文证明了离散选择模型如何通过估计离散量来用于告知混合模型的行为参数。工业蒸汽产生技术选择模型的决定。 2002年对加拿大259家工业公司进行了调查,并从结果中估计出离散选择模型。该模型表明,工业热电联产是许多公司相对未知的技术。在那些熟悉热电联产的企业中,其高昂的资本成本常常限制了其吸引力。调查结果还显示,通过热电联产系统提供的节电措施被公司高度评价。 (UMI缩短了摘要。);在过去的二十年中,混合模型的出现是为了克服传统能源模型的缺点。混合模型本质上融合了自下而上和自上而下的方法,因此需要在技术层面上了解消费者的行为。离散选择模型可以为混合模型提供该技术特定的行为信息。

著录项

  • 作者

    Rivers, Nicholas J.;

  • 作者单位

    Simon Fraser University (Canada).;

  • 授予单位 Simon Fraser University (Canada).;
  • 学科 Environmental science.;Energy.
  • 学位 M.R.M.
  • 年度 2003
  • 页码 135 p.
  • 总页数 135
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 能源与动力工程;
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:45:11

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号