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Understanding regional dynamics of vulnerability: A historical approach to the flood problem in China.

机译：了解脆弱性的区域动态：解决中国洪水问题的历史方法。

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摘要

Throughout its long history, China is among the world's most flood-prone and consequently the most experienced countries in coping with floods. This is a dissertation about developing a historical approach for understanding regional dynamic change of vulnerability to flood hazards in the Chinese context, and providing an analytic base for the country's shift of its flood management strategy from the current predominant and prevalent flood control approach to a broader and more comprehensive risk management paradigm.;The dissertation asks two central questions: (1) How can the changing vulnerability situation be better understood and analyzed so that the insights gained are most relevant for policy and practice? (2) What are the plausible pathways and key options for managing future flood risks in China in the context of rapid socioeconomic transition and climate change? By developing an analytical framework and a case study in the Dongting Lake area of China, and by outlining three fundamental dilemmas and three plausible pathways for managing future flood risk in China, the dissertation concludes that China needs a new flood management strategy---one that centers on vulnerability reduction and resilience building and one that embraces and internalizes variability and uncertainty in decision making. While a resilience strategy embodies a wide range of opportunities for long-term sustainable flood risk prevention and mitigation, the dissertation argues further that China faces major dilemmas in managing its future flood risks. Trade-offs between economic development and flood vulnerability reduction and between cooperation and tensions across diverse actors and scales cannot be escaped.
机译：在漫长的历史中，中国是世界上最容易发生洪灾的国家之一，因此也是应对洪灾最有经验的国家。这是关于发展一种历史方法来了解中国背景下易受洪灾危害的区域动态变化，并为该国将其洪水管理策略从当前的主要和普遍的防洪方法转变为更广泛的方法提供分析依据的论文。论文提出了两个主要问题：（1）如何更好地理解和分析不断变化的脆弱性状况，使所获得的见解与政策和实践最相关？ （2）在快速的社会经济转型和气候变化的背景下，管理中国未来洪水风险的合理途径和关键选择是什么？通过在中国洞庭湖地区建立分析框架和案例研究，并概述了管理中国未来洪水风险的三个基本难题和三个可行途径，论文得出结论，中国需要一种新的洪水管理策略-重点在于减少漏洞和增强弹性，以及将决策中的可变性和不确定性纳入内部化。虽然复原力战略为长期可持续的洪水风险预防和缓解提供了广泛的机会，但本文进一步指出，中国在管理未来的洪水风险方面面临重大难题。经济发展与减少洪灾脆弱性之间的权衡，以及各种行为者和规模之间合作与紧张之间的权衡，都无法避免。

著录项

  • 作者

    Han, Guoyi.;

  • 作者单位

    Clark University.;

  • 授予单位 Clark University.;
  • 学科 Geography.;Sustainability.;Climate Change.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2011
  • 页码 213 p.
  • 总页数 213
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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