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The effects of climate change on the distribution and prevalence of plague (Yersinia pestis).

机译：气候变化对鼠疫（鼠疫耶尔森氏菌）的分布和流行的影响。

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摘要

The effects of global climate change on human health are being widely studied with the goal of preventing outbreaks of new or re-emerging infectious diseases. The focus of this study is plague, which is classified by the World Health Organization as a re-emerging disease. Correlations between past climate and corresponding plague cases were analyzed to determine possible links that could be used to forecast future plague prevalence. Regional climate indices were compared to the number of human plague cases in Africa, Asia, and the Americas, and annual county climate data was compared to the plague cases in New Mexico and Arizona. The most significant correlations were found between the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and plague cases in Africa and the United States, specifically Arizona, California and New Mexico. Most likely there is a combination of climatic, biologic, chemical and anthropogenic factors that determines the prevalence and distribution of plague.
机译：人们正在广泛研究全球气候变化对人类健康的影响，目的是防止新的或重新出现的传染病暴发。这项研究的重点是鼠疫，世界卫生组织将其归类为重现性疾病。分析了过去气候与相应鼠疫病例之间的相关性，以确定可能用于预测未来鼠疫流行的联系。将区域气候指数与非洲，亚洲和美洲的人类鼠疫病例数进行了比较，并将年度县气候数据与新墨西哥州和亚利桑那州的鼠疫病例进行了比较。在非洲和美国，特别是亚利桑那州，加利福尼亚州和新墨西哥州，太平洋年代际振荡与鼠疫病例之间发现了最显着的相关性。气候，生物，化学和人为因素共同决定了鼠疫的流行和分布。

著录项

  • 作者

    Baron, Christina S.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Central Missouri.;

  • 授予单位 University of Central Missouri.;
  • 学科 Climate Change.;Health Sciences Epidemiology.;Health Sciences Public Health.;Biology Macroecology.
  • 学位 M.S.
  • 年度 2010
  • 页码 356 p.
  • 总页数 356
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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