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Planning protocol for pre-feasibility studies of water resources projects in developing countries.

机译:发展中国家水资源项目预可行性研究的规划协议。

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The research objective is to develop a Planning Protocol for Pre-Feasibility Studies of Water Resources Projects in Developing Countries to be used by civil and environmental engineers, and other planning specialists. Recently Emphasized Objectives and Policy Issues (REOPI) make project planning in developing countries different from that applied in developed countries. Modern water resources planning must consider the REOPI, at various points in the project cycle. The REOPI are: sustainability; environmental quality; environmental economics; environmental justice; global, international, and inter-basin impacts of projects; uncertainty; and risk-benefit analysis.; At the pre-feasibility study phase, the traditional factors and the REOPI can be analyzed by two partially overlapping broad measures incorporating many components of feasibility: Implementability and Sustainability. The HYDRO project planning PROtocol (HYDROPRO) provides two numerical decimal values for and against proceeding to a feasibility study. Such results provide valuable guidance to decision-makers and the publics. Due to data deficiencies for the REOPI from actual projects, data from a hypothetical case study of a proposed water resources project (based on a case study of the Upper Narmada River Basin, India) was used to test HYDROPRO. Testing of HYDROPRO using undergraduate and graduate students to represent (through role-play) the various publics (public agencies, non-governmental organizations, stakeholders with economic interests, and interested observers) gave an evaluation of the project with ratings for Implementability and Sustainability for whether to proceed to the feasibility study or to reject the project. An additional “role-play” was done by the researcher using the same project for the case of a politically-dominated decision process.; The research for this thesis shows, through the development of an Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) model, that measures of Implementability and Sustainability can be studied effectively and at reasonable cost. Technical evaluation of the REOPI is possible in a systematic multi-objective decision framework, the AHP, that considers commensurate and non-commensurate parameters together and separately as required in the real world. Participation of relevant publics can be developed into representative numerical values and can be directly incorporated into a multi-objective decision analysis that assists decision-makers, gains support from the relevant publics, and improves project outcome.
机译:该研究目标是制定一项针对发展中国家水资源项目的预可行性研究的规划协议,以供土木和环境工程师以及其他规划专家使用。最近强调的目标和政策问题(REOPI)使发展中国家的项目计划与发达国家的计划不同。现代水资源规划必须在项目周期的各个阶段考虑REOPI。 REOPI是:可持续性;环境质量;环境经济学;环境正义;项目对全球,国际和流域间的影响;不确定;和风险收益分析。在预可行性研究阶段,可以通过结合部分可行性的许多组成部分的两个部分重叠的广泛措施来分析传统因素和REOPI:可实施性和可持续性。 HYDRO项目规划协议(HYDROPRO)为进行可行性研究提供了两个数字十进制值。这些结果为决策者和公众提供了宝贵的指导。由于REOPI实际项目的数据不足,因此使用拟议水资源项目的假设案例研究(基于印度上纳尔默达河流域的案例研究)的数据来测试HYDROPRO。对HYDROPRO进行测试,使用大学生和研究生代表(通过角色扮演)代表各种公众(公共机构,非政府组织,具有经济利益的利益相关者以及感兴趣的观察员)对该项目进行了评估,评估了项目的可实施性和可持续性进行可行性研究还是拒绝项目。对于政治主导的决策过程,研究人员使用相同的项目进行了额外的“角色扮演”。本文的研究表明,通过开发层次分析模型(AHP)模型,可以有效,合理地研究可实施性和可持续性的措施。对REOPI的技术评估可以在系统的多目标决策框架AHP中进行,该框架根据现实世界的要求一起并分别考虑相称参数和不相称参数。相关公众的参与可以发展为具有代表性的数值,也可以直接纳入多目标决策分析中,以协助决策者,获得相关公众的支持并改善项目成果。

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