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Heterogeneity in motorists' preferences for travel time and time reliability: Empirical finding from multiple survey data sets and its policy implications.

机译：驾车者偏好出行时间和时间可靠性的异质性：来自多个调查数据集的经验发现及其政策含义。

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摘要

The deregulation experience in airline, banking, and telecommunication suggests that the heterogeneity in consumers' preferences has important policy significance. However, the varied nature in motorists' preferences has been hardly recognized in urban passenger transportation sector. In this public sector, the public authority generally offers a uniform class of services to all potential users. This dissertation employs the new advances in econometrics on survey data sets from road pricing experiment in Los Angeles area to study the diversity in motorists' preferences for travel time and travel time reliability. The empirical findings are used to explore the efficiency and distributional effects of road pricing that accounts for users' heterogeneity.; This dissertation found substantial heterogeneity in motorists' preferences for both travel time and travel time reliability. Furthermore, based on a simulation model, this dissertation found that road pricing policies catering to varying preferences can substantially increase efficiency while maintaining the same political feasibility as the current experiments. This dissertation also explores how to apply the recent developments in Bayesian econometrics to estimate the multinomial probit models combining different sources of data, which can be used to estimate the diversity in peoples' preferences with more flexibility in model specification.
机译：航空，银行和电信业的放松管制经验表明，消费者偏好的异质性具有重要的政策意义。但是，城市旅客运输部门几乎没有意识到驾驶者偏好的多样性。在这个公共部门中，公共机构通常为所有潜在用户提供统一的服务类别。本文利用来自洛杉矶地区道路定价实验的调查数据集的计量经济学新进展，研究了驾驶员对出行时间和出行时间可靠性的偏好差异。实证结果被用来探讨导致用户异质性的道路定价的效率和分配效应。本文发现，出行时间和出行时间可靠性在驾驶员偏好方面存在很大的异质性。此外，基于仿真模型，本文发现，适应不同偏好的道路定价政策可以在实质上提高效率的同时保持与当前实验相同的政治可行性。本文还探讨了如何利用贝叶斯计量经济学的最新发展来估计结合不同数据源的多项式概率模型，该模型可用于估计人们偏好的多样性，并在模型规范方面具有更大的灵活性。

著录项

  • 作者

    Yan, Jia.;

  • 作者单位

    University of California, Irvine.;

  • 授予单位 University of California, Irvine.;
  • 学科 Economics General.; Transportation.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2002
  • 页码 p.2955
  • 总页数 152
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 经济学;
  • 关键词

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