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首页> 外文学位 >The elusive essence: Theorizing Cold War stability and the story of the United States-Soviet encounter during the October War.
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The elusive essence: Theorizing Cold War stability and the story of the United States-Soviet encounter during the October War.

机译：难以捉摸的本质：从理论上讲冷战的稳定性以及十月战争期间美苏遭遇的故事。

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摘要

Although stability is one of the most important ideas of international relations theory, it remains one of the least carefully studied and least well-understood terms in the disciplinary lexicon. The leading theories of Cold War stability have emphasized bipolarity, nuclear weapons, conventional deterrence, the obsolescence of major war, and rules of the game as dominant causes, but have not been articulated systematically or substantiated convincingly. The present work seeks address these shortcomings of the existing literature by developing an alternative explanation that conceptualizes stability as the existence of consensus among international competitors about norms of tolerable strategic behavior with respect to their most salient security interests. The study views US-Soviet relations during the October 1973 Arab-Israeli War through the prisms of each of these six contending theoretical explanations and employs the method of detailed process tracing to assess the relative strengths of each approach. The norms of tolerable strategic behavior approach developed herein proved itself better able render an accurate judgment about the nature of US-Soviet relations during the October War. The dissertation argues that the superpower relationship was stable at this historical juncture because leaders in Moscow and Washington succeeded in establishing mutually recognized and respected norms of tolerable strategic behavior that forbade the use of direct military force to achieve the total military defeat or political overthrow of a superpower regional client. Most generally, this strategic norm is termed the "no military routs allowed" norm. In practice, the general norm was supplemented by five derivative corollaries. These five incarnations of the "no routes allowed" formula prohibited the use of military force by Israel: (1) to conduct prolonged strategic bombing in depth against Soviet client states, (2) attack or occupy their capitals or other deep interior territory, (3) physically destroy neutralized Arab military forces in a gratuitous manner, (4) force the unconditional surrender of the Egyptian Third Army, or (5) elsewise humiliate Cairo or Damascus in a way that threatened their political and military integrity.
机译：尽管稳定是国际关系理论中最重要的思想之一，但它仍然是纪律词典中研究最少的术语和理解最少的术语之一。冷战稳定的主要理论强调了两极，核武器，常规威慑，主要战争的过时和游戏规则是主要原因，但并未系统地或有说服力地加以阐述。本工作旨在通过发展一种替代性解释来解决现有文献的这些缺陷，该替代性解释将稳定性概念化为国际竞争者就其最显着的安全利益而言就可容忍的战略行为规范达成共识的存在。该研究通过这六种相互竞争的理论解释中的每一种来观察1973年10月阿以战争期间的美苏关系，并采用详细的过程追踪方法来评估每种方法的相对优势。本文中提出的可容忍的战略行为方法规范证明，自己能够更好地对十月战争期间的美苏关系的性质作出准确的判断。论文认为，在这个历史关头，超级大国关系是稳定的，因为莫斯科和华盛顿的领导人成功地建立了相互认可和相互尊重的可容忍战略行为准则，这些准则禁止使用直接军事力量来实现军事上的全面失败或政治推翻。超级大国的区域客户。通常，此战略规范被称为“不允许军事溃败”规范。在实践中，一般规范由五个衍生推论补充。这五个“禁止路线”公式的化身，禁止以色列使用军事力量：（1）对苏联客户国进行长期的深度战略轰炸；（2）攻击或占领其首都或其他较深的内部领土，（ 3）无偿摧毁被摧毁的阿拉伯军事力量；（4）迫使埃及第三军无条件投降；或（5）否则以威胁其政治和军事完整性的方式侮辱开罗或大马士革。

著录项

  • 作者

    Murphy, William James.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Pennsylvania.;

  • 授予单位 University of Pennsylvania.;
  • 学科 Political Science International Law and Relations.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2002
  • 页码 391 p.
  • 总页数 391
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 国际法;
  • 关键词

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