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Credit spreads on the secondary market of sovereign bonds of emerging market countries.

机译:信贷在新兴市场国家主权债券的二级市场上传播。

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摘要

This thesis has two main goals. The first is to determine which factors can explain the level in the credit spreads in a sample of Latin American and Asian countries in the period ranging from the middle of the 90's to mid-2000. Particular emphasis is giving to macroeconomic variables. The second is to investigate the behavior of the term structure of credit spreads.; Using a new dataset of credit spread and monthly macroeconomic data, I find that economic and financial variables have great explanatory power over the level and changes on credit spreads in Latin American countries. The results for the Asian countries are mixed.; More importantly, despite the great volatility on the secondary market of sovereign bonds, economic variables, alone, explain a big part of the variation on spreads. Economic variables have also more long run effect in credit spreads than financial variables.; I find, also, that the slope of the term structure of credit spreads depends on the economic environment of the emerging market countries. In good times, this term structure has a positive slope. As the economic conditions degenerates, the term structure gets flatter and, eventually, negatively sloped.
机译:本论文有两个主要目标。首先是要确定哪些因素可以解释从90年代中期到2000年中期这段时期内拉丁美洲和亚洲国家样本中的信用利差水平。特别强调宏观经济变量。第二是研究信用利差期限结构的行为。通过使用新的信贷利差数据集和每月宏观经济数据,我发现经济和金融变量对拉丁美洲国家信贷利差的水平和变化具有很大的解释力。亚洲国家的结果好坏参半。更重要的是,尽管主权债券二级市场波动很大,但仅经济变量就能解释息差变化的很大一部分。与金融变量相比,经济变量对信贷息差的长期影响更大。我还发现,信贷息差期限结构的斜率取决于新兴市场国家的经济环境。在好时机,这种期限结构具有正斜率。随着经济状况的恶化,期限结构变得更平坦,最终呈负斜率。

著录项

  • 作者

    Barcinski, Alexandre.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of Chicago.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Chicago.;
  • 学科 Economics General.; Economics Finance.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2001
  • 页码 98 p.
  • 总页数 98
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 经济学;财政、金融;
  • 关键词

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