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A stochastic pool-based electricity market simulator.

机译:基于随机池的电力市场模拟器。

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In Part I, two pool-based electricity market models are compared in terms of their economic impact on the market participants, the Lossless Economic Dispatch (LED) and the Optimal Power Flow (OPF). The OPF is shown to be economically more efficient, more accurate and more equitable to the participants.; In Part II, a stochastic electricity market simulator (SEMS) is designed using elements of Monte Carlo methods and game theory. Each generator is assumed to operate in a stochastic manner, according to a bid strategy composed of a set of pre-established bid instances and a corresponding set of bid probabilities. The Pool dispatches power and defines prices according to either the LED or OPF models from Part I. Generators can update their bidding strategies according to a profit performance index reflecting their degree of risk tolerance, Chicken (risk averse), Average, and Cowboy (risk taker). SEMS can predict issues such as unintended collusion, as well as to evaluate bidding strategies.
机译:在第一部分中,根据对市场参与者的经济影响,比较了两种基于池的电力市场模型,即无损经济调度(LED)和最佳潮流(OPF)。事实证明,OPF在经济上对参与者更有效,更准确且更公平。在第二部分中,使用蒙特卡洛方法和博弈论的原理设计了随机电力市场模拟器(SEMS)。根据由一组预先建立的出价实例和一组相应的出价概率组成的出价策略,假定每个生成器以随机方式运行。池根据第一部分中的LED或OPF模型分配功率并定义价格。生成器可以根据反映其风险承受能力的程度,鸡(避险),平均(Average)和牛仔(风险)的盈利绩效指数来更新其出价策略。接受者)。 SEMS可以预测诸如意外串通之类的问题,以及评估投标策略。

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