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Overlapping generations and climate change in a regionally disaggregated framework.

机译:在区域分类框架中,世代相叠和气候变化。

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摘要

Integrated Assessment models have become important tools for the analysis of global warming. To be effective tools, it is necessary for integrated assessment models to incorporate both interregional and intertemporal effects. These are needed in order to address the issues of equity and efficiency that are currently being debated in the international arena. We argue that the interregional and intertemporal effects can best be represented in an interregional Overlapping Generations model. Such a model has not been previously available.; We present a prototype of such a model, NSOLG, in which the world is divided into two regions, North and South. Generational structure, in the reference case, is represented by generations working for forty years and enjoying twenty years of retirement.; The nature of the Global Climate Change problem requires that both benefits and costs be compared over the next few centuries. Consequently, the magnitude of the discount rate is very significant. Discount rates obtained through both descriptive and prescriptive methodologies are used to compare the intergenerational costs of capital differentials.; The knowledge gained from NSOLG is used to discuss the implications for further integration of intergenerational structure into global climate change models.
机译:综合评估模型已经成为分析全球变暖的重要工具。为了成为有效的工具,综合评估模型必须兼顾区域间和跨期影响。这些是解决国际舞台上目前正在辩论的公平和效率问题所必需的。我们认为,区域间和跨期影响最好用区域间重叠世代模型来表示。这样的模型以前没有。我们提出了这种模型的原型NSOLG,其中的世界被分为北部和南部两个区域。在参考案例中,代际结构以工作了40年并享有20年退休年龄的世代为代表。全球气候变化问题的性质要求在接下来的几个世纪中同时比较收益和成本。因此,折现率的幅度非常重要。通过描述性和描述性方法获得的折现率用于比较资本差异的代际成本。从NSOLG获得的知识用于讨论将代际结构进一步整合到全球气候变化模型中的意义。

著录项

  • 作者

    Deaker, James Alexander.;

  • 作者单位

    Stanford University.;

  • 授予单位 Stanford University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.; Engineering General.; Operations Research.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2000
  • 页码 100 p.
  • 总页数 100
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 经济学;工程基础科学;运筹学;
  • 关键词

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