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Electric power and the global economy: Advances in database construction and sector representation.

机译:电力与全球经济:数据库建设和部门代表制的进步。

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摘要

The electricity sector plays a crucial role in the global economy. The sector is a major consumer of fossil fuel resources, producer of greenhouse gas emissions, and an important indicator and correlate of economic development. As such, the sector is a primary target for policy-makers seeking to address these issues. The sector is also experiencing rapid technological change in generation (e.g. renewables), primary inputs (e.g. horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing), and end-use efficiency. This dissertation seeks to further our understanding of the role of the electricity sector as part of the dynamic global energy-economy, which requires significant research advances in both database construction and modeling techniques. Chapter 2 identifies useful engineering-level data and presents a novel matrix balancing method for integrating these data in global economic databases. Chapter 3 demonstrates the relationship between matrix balancing method and modeling results, and Chapter 4 presents the full construction methodology for GTAP-Power, the foremost, publicly-available global computable general equilibrium database. Chapter 5 presents an electricity-detailed computational equilibrium model that explicitly and endogenously captures capacity utilization, capacity expansion, and their interdependency -- important aspects of technological substitution in the electricity sector. The individual, but interrelated, research contributions to database construction and electricity modeling in computational equilibrium are placed in the context of analyzing the US EPA Clean Power Plan (CPP) CO 2 target of 32 percent reduction of CO2 emissions in the US electricity sector from a 2005 baseline by 2030. Assuming current fuel prices, the model predicts an almost 28 percent CO2 reduction without further policy intervention. Next, a carbon tax and investment subsidies for renewable technologies to meet the CPP full targets are imposed and compared (Chapter 6). The carbon tax achieves the target via both utilization and expansion, while the renewable investment subsidies lead to over-expansion and compromises some of the possibilities via utilization. In doing so, this dissertation furthers our understanding of the role of the electricity sector as part of the dynamic global energy-economy.
机译:电力部门在全球经济中起着至关重要的作用。该部门是化石燃料资源的主要消费者,温室气体排放的产生者,也是经济发展的重要指标和相关指标。因此,该行业是寻求解决这些问题的决策者的主要目标。该部门还经历着发电(例如可再生能源),主要投入(例如水平钻井和水力压裂)以及最终使用效率的快速技术变革。本文旨在进一步了解电力部门作为动态全球能源经济的一部分的作用,这需要数据库构建和建模技术方面的重大研究进展。第2章确定了有用的工程级别数据,并提出了一种新颖的矩阵平衡方法,用于将这些数据集成到全球经济数据库中。第3章演示了矩阵平衡方法与建模结果之间的关系,第4章介绍了GTAP-Power(最重要的,可公开获得的全球可计算一般均衡数据库)的完整构建方法。第5章介绍了一个详细的电计算均衡模型,该模型明确并内生地捕获容量利用率,容量扩展及其相互依赖性-电力行业技术替代的重要方面。对计算平衡中的数据库构建和电力建模的各个独立但相互关联的研究贡献被置于分析美国EPA清洁能源计划(CPP)CO 2目标的背景下,该目标是将美国电力部门的二氧化碳排放量减少32%。以2030年的2005年为基准。假设当前的燃油价格,该模型预测无需进一步的政策干预,二氧化碳排放量将减少近28%。接下来,征收并比较可再生能源技术的碳税和投资补贴,以达到CPP的全部目标(第6章)。碳税可以通过利用和扩展来实现目标,而可再生投资补贴会导致过度扩张,并通过利用来折衷某些可能性。在此过程中,本论文加深了我们对电力部门作为动态全球能源经济的一部分的作用的理解。

著录项

  • 作者

    Peters, Jeffrey C.;

  • 作者单位

    Purdue University.;

  • 授予单位 Purdue University.;
  • 学科 Energy.;Economics.;Environmental science.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2016
  • 页码 214 p.
  • 总页数 214
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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