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Bidding evaluation and strategies: An application in the competitive electric power industry.

机译:竞标评估和策略:在竞争激烈的电力行业中的应用。

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摘要

Since the passage of the Public Utilities Regulatory Policies Act of 1978, competitive bidding has become widespread. As the electric system becomes more decentralized, it is important that efficient production be based on truthful energy cost information and that the system maintains optimal diversity of plant types. A two-dimensional auction model is developed in this dissertation. In this model, a bidder submits both fixed and variable payment bids, with the latter depending on how much electricity is produced. The dispatch period of a unit is modeled as depending on the energy bid. The bidder possesses a privately known technology curve that trades off capacity costs against energy costs. The bidder chooses an electric generation technology, a capacity bid and an energy bid based on its own private information. The utility chooses the winning bid based on a pre-announced Evaluation Function. The solution concept used is a symmetric Nash Equilibrium. We show that an appropriate Evaluation Function can help achieve revelation of true energy costs and an optimal choice of technology. The information premium depends on the locus of the technology choice in the capacity-energy-cost domain.;We then add uncertainty about the dispatch schedule to the analysis. The utility also provides a guaranteed dispatch schedule. We investigate two forms of evaluation criteria and contract. In the first, we assume that the utility dispatches the units according to the submitted energy bid and will "pay-and-not-take" if the realized dispatch schedule falls short of the guaranteed one. In the second, we assume that the utility will exercise the "take" option even in "bad" states. Results from the analysis of these two contracts show that providing a dispatch guarantee cannot ensure truthful revelation of energy costs. The technology choice in both cases is operationally efficient but socially sub-optimal. We also find that the utility can reduce the expected contract payment by affecting the technology choice locus.
机译:自1978年通过《公共事业管理政策法》以来,竞争性招标已变得十分普遍。随着电力系统的分散化,重要的是要基于真实的能源成本信息来进行高效生产,并且系统必须保持最佳的工厂类型多样性。本文建立了二维拍卖模型。在此模型中,投标人同时提交固定和可变付款投标,后者取决于发电量。单元的调度周期建模为取决于能源投标。投标人拥有一条私有的技术曲线,可以在容量成本与能源成本之间进行权衡。投标人根据自己的私人信息选择发电技术,容量投标和能源投标。公用事业基于预先宣布的评估功能选择中标。所使用的解决方案概念是对称纳什均衡。我们表明,适当的评估功能可以帮助揭示真实的能源成本和最佳的技术选择。信息溢价取决于容量-能源-成本领域中技术选择的所在地。然后,我们将派遣计划的不确定性添加到分析中。该实用程序还提供了有保证的调度时间表。我们研究了两种形式的评估标准和合同。首先,我们假设公用事业公司根据提交的能源投标来调度单位,如果实现的调度时间表未达到保证的调度时间表,则将“即付即用”。在第二个例子中,我们假设该实用程序即使在“坏”状态下也将执行“ take”选项。对这两个合同的分析结果表明,提供调度保证不能确保真实显示能源成本。两种情况下的技术选择在运营上都是有效的,但在社会上却不是最佳的。我们还发现,公用事业可以通过影响技术选择源来减少预期的合同付款。

著录项

  • 作者

    Sit, Ming Fai.;

  • 作者单位

    Stanford University.;

  • 授予单位 Stanford University.;
  • 学科 Commerce-Business.;Energy.;Electrical engineering.;Economic theory.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1995
  • 页码 111 p.
  • 总页数 111
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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