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首页> 外文学位 >AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DETERMINANTS OF LONG-RUN GROWTH AND TECHNICAL PROGRESS IN SOUTHEAST ASIA: A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF INDONESIA, MALAYSIA, THE PHILIPPINES, SINGAPORE AND THAILAND.
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AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DETERMINANTS OF LONG-RUN GROWTH AND TECHNICAL PROGRESS IN SOUTHEAST ASIA: A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF INDONESIA, MALAYSIA, THE PHILIPPINES, SINGAPORE AND THAILAND.

机译：东南亚长期增长决定因素和技术进步的实证分析：印度尼西亚，马来西亚，菲律宾，新加坡和泰国的比较研究。

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摘要

This research work is an empirical analysis of the determinants of long-run growth and technical progress in five Southeast Asian countries, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand, i.e., the ASEAN countries, during the last three decades. We ask the fundamental question of why these economies have grown, and concentrate on the nature of technical progress behind the growth process. We have tested different endogenous growth models, and have analyzed whether the determinant of technical progress proposed by each of the models is part of the long-run production function. The analysis concentrates on the individual countries, in an attempt to point out differences in the growth process and in the nature of the technical process associated to it. Our empirical findings indicate that an important determinant of long-run growth in the ASEAN countries is imports of foreign technology. However, none of the variables pointed out by recent endogenous growth models, i.e., aggregate capital, education, government capital expenditures, is capable of generating endogenous growth, as defined by these models. Even the role of exports, except in Singapore, is not so clear. Education, exports of machinery and GDP growth are important determinants of TFP growth in all five ASEAN countries, and Japanese FDI appears to be particularly important in Singapore. We have found complementarity between the level of education and Japanese FDI, as well as between the former and imports of machinery. However, we conclude that none of the determinants analyzed, separately, is capable of accounting for the growth of these countries, and that only a sustained big-push package can be responsible for the increase in productivity and growth in the region.
机译：这项研究工作是对过去三个十年中五个东南亚国家（印度尼西亚，马来西亚，菲律宾，新加坡和泰国）（即东盟国家）长期增长和技术进步的决定因素的经验分析。我们问一个基本问题，即为什么这些经济体会增长，并专注于增长过程背后的技术进步性质。我们测试了不同的内生增长模型，并分析了每种模型提出的技术进步的决定因素是否是长期生产功能的一部分。分析着重于各个国家，以指出增长过程以及与之相关的技术过程的性质上的差异。我们的经验发现表明，东盟国家长期增长的重要决定因素是外国技术的进口。但是，最新内生增长模型所指出的变量（即总资本，教育，政府资本支出）均无法产生这些模型所定义的内生增长。甚至在新加坡以外的国家，出口的角色也不清楚。教育，机械出口和GDP增长是所有五个东盟国家TFP增长的重要决定因素，日本的FDI在新加坡似乎尤为重要。我们发现，教育水平与日本的外国直接投资之间，以及前者与进口机器之间具有互补性。但是，我们得出的结论是，单独分析的决定因素中没有一个能够说明这些国家的增长，并且只有持续的大力推动一揽子计划才能为该地区的生产率和增长做出贡献。

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  • 作者

    FELIPE, JESUS.;

  • 作者单位

    UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA.;

  • 授予单位 UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA.;
  • 学科 Economics General.
  • 学位 PH.D.
  • 年度 1995
  • 页码 316 p.
  • 总页数 316
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 经济学;
  • 关键词

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