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The prospects of democratization in developing countries: The importance of state-society relationships, 1970-1988.

机译：发展中国家民主化的前景：国家与社会关系的重要性，1970-1988年。

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摘要

This study explores the prospects for the emergence of democratic regimes in developing countries in general and in Muslim countries in particular. This question has both intellectual and policy relevance for the 1990s and beyond. The optimistic view about the future of democracy has been challenged by Samuel Huntington who sees the status of democracy in the world in 1984 as not very different from what it was about ten years earlier. Huntington further claims that among the Islamic countries, "particularly those in the Middles East, the prospects for democratic development seem low." Huntington attributes this to the recent Islamic revivalism, particularly Shi'ah fundamentalism, and the poverty of many of the Muslim countries. This study will test and reject the thesis that Islam is directly responsible for the absence of democracy in the Muslim countries. A model to measure the society-state power index is proposed, with a control for Islam, to observe whether Islam plays a neutral role in the process of democratization or it is a force hindering the inauguration of democracy in Muslim countries. Support for a structural explanation of democratization is found. The failure by the developing countries to inaugurate democracy is due to the uneven distribution of socioeconomic and political power resources. The cultural explanations, e.g. the role of religion, are thus rejected. A total of 87 countries are included in a cross national regression analysis, consisting of 31 Muslim countries, 17 newly inaugurated democracies, and 39 other developing countries. The period under investigation covers 1970 through 1988. This study also has implications for the U.S. and other developed Western countries that are concerned with the persistence of authoritarianism in the developing countries. Some policy proposals are offered as to help establish democracy in developing countries.
机译：这项研究探索了发展中国家普遍，特别是穆斯林国家中民主政权出现的前景。这个问题在1990年代及以后都具有思想和政策意义。塞缪尔·亨廷顿（Samuel Huntington）挑战了对民主未来的乐观看法，他认为1984年世界民主的地位与十年前没有太大不同。亨廷顿进一步声称，在伊斯兰国家中，特别是在中东国家中，民主发展的前景似乎很低。亨廷顿将其归因于最近的伊斯兰复兴主义，尤其是什叶派原教旨主义，以及许多穆斯林国家的贫穷。这项研究将检验并拒绝以下观点：伊斯兰直接导致穆斯林国家缺乏民主。提出了一种衡量社会国家力量指数的模型，并控制了伊斯兰教，以观察伊斯兰教在民主化进程中是否扮演中立角色，或者是阻碍穆斯林国家民主就职的力量。找到了对民主化的结构性解释的支持。发展中国家未能建立民主制度是​​由于社会经济和政治权力资源分配不均。文化解释，例如宗教的作用，因此被拒绝。跨国回归分析中总共包括87个国家，包括31个穆斯林国家，17个新成立的民主国家和39个其他发展中国家。调查期为1970年至1988年。该研究对美国和其他关注发展中国家威权主义持续存在的西方发达国家也有影响。提供了一些政策建议，以帮助在发展中国家建立民主。

著录项

  • 作者

    Abootalebi, Ali Reza.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of Arizona.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Arizona.;
  • 学科 Political Science General.;Political Science International Law and Relations.;History Middle Eastern.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1993
  • 页码 355 p.
  • 总页数 355
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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