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Towards developing a hybrid method for input-output table compilation and identifying a fundamental economic structure.

机译:致力于开发一种用于输入-输出表编制和识别基本经济结构的混合方法。

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摘要

This dissertation focuses on two topics that are important to regional economists. The first is the development of a hybrid method for input-output table compilation which distinguishes between economic relationships that need to be surveyed and those that can be obtained by other means. The second is the identification of those parts of an economy that can be considered "basic" or "fundamental" to an economy.;Both these concepts are developed by using nine regional South African input-output tables, aggregated to a 6-sector level and open with respect to households. Specific properties of these tables are analyzed viz. importance, stability and predictability.;By using the three properties and certain decision rules a "projection matrix" is developed, which distinguishes between the economic relationships that need to be surveyed, those that can be predicted, and those for which base data can be used. The accuracy of the method is tested on three different aggregation levels (6-, 19- and 32-sectors), initially with households excluded and then with households included in the intermediate matrix. The tests show that the projection matrices provide sufficiently accurate estimates of regional coefficients and that the accuracy improves with a decrease in aggregation level. With households included the accuracy is somewhat negatively affected, although not significantly.;The fundamental economic structure is defined as "those economic relationships that are important building blocks for the economy and whose magnitudes reflect the level of economic activity within a region". It is shown that the fundamental economic structure consists mostly of services and certain manufacturing activities and has an urban orientation. Similar results are obtained at the 6-, 19- and 32-sector levels.
机译:本文的重点是对区域经济学家重要的两个主题。首先是开发一种用于输入-输出表编制的混合方法,该方法可以区分需要调查的经济关系和可以通过其他方式获得的经济关系。第二个是识别经济中可以被视为经济的“基础”或“基础”的部分。这两个概念都是通过使用9个南非区域投入产出表(汇总为6个部门的水平)得出的对家庭开放。这些表的特定属性进行了分析。重要性,稳定性和可预测性。通过使用这三个属性和某些决策规则,开发了“投影矩阵”,该模型可以区分需要调查的经济关系,可以预测的经济关系和可以获取基础数据的经济关系。用过的。在三个不同的聚合级别(6、19和32个扇区)上测试该方法的准确性,首先排除住户,然后再将其包含在中间矩阵中。测试表明,投影矩阵可以对区域系数提供足够准确的估计,并且随着聚集级别的降低,准确性会提高。在包括住户的情况下,准确性受到了一定程度的负面影响,尽管影响不大。;基本经济结构定义为“那些对经济至关重要的经济关系,其数量反映了该地区经济活动的水平”。结果表明,基本经济结构主要由服务业和某些制造业活动组成,并且具有城市定位。在6、19和32扇区级别获得了类似的结果。

著录项

  • 作者单位

    University of Pennsylvania.;

  • 授予单位 University of Pennsylvania.;
  • 学科 Economics.;Urban planning.;Geography.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1992
  • 页码 192 p.
  • 总页数 192
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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