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首页> 外文学位 >A QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC, DISTRIBUTIONAL, AND POLITICAL EFFECTS ON VOTING TURNOUT IN THAILAND, 1976-1979.
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A QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC, DISTRIBUTIONAL, AND POLITICAL EFFECTS ON VOTING TURNOUT IN THAILAND, 1976-1979.

机译：1976-1979年，泰国对投票率的社会经济，分布和政治影响的定量分析。

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摘要

The study uses quantitative data on a stratified random sample of 94 districts in 30 Thai provinces to examine the value of three models in explaining differences in voting rates across districts at a single point in time, and in inter-election changes in voting rates.;The dissertation employs multiple regression techniques to compare models based on social mobilization, on distributional equality, on political setting, and a synthesized model drawing on elements of the three constituent models. The hypothesis of a positive relationship between socio-economic change and turnout rates is strongly supported in high-growth districts, and less strongly in the general sample. A positive relationship between land distribution (including both tenancy rates and landholding rates) is fond in the 1976 election. However, this relationship disappears in 1979. Several possible factors responsible for this change in turnot patterns are discussed. The effect of one of these factos, violence directed against the Farmers' Federation of Thailand, is tested and fond not related to turnout patterns at a statistically significant level. Political setting variables exhibit the hypothesized positive effect upon turnout rates. Districts in multi-constituency provinces have higher rates of voter turnout than do those in single-constituency provinces. Party competition also stimulates turnout: districts which are located in constituencies where multiple parties win Parliamentary seats exhibit higher voting rates than do constituencies where a single party dominates the election.
机译：该研究使用了对泰国30个省的94个地区的分层随机样本的定量数据，以检验三种模型在解释单个时间点上各地区的投票率差异以及选举之间的投票率变化方面的价值。本文运用多元回归技术对基于社会动员，分配平等，政治环境的模型进行了比较，并利用三个构成模型的要素对模型进行了综合。社会经济变化与投票率之间呈正相关的假设在高增长地区得到了有力的支持，而在一般样本中则没有那么强的支持。 1976年大选建立了土地分配（包括租赁率和土地占有率）之间的正相关关系。但是，这种关系在1979年消失了。讨论了导致这种形态变化的几种可能因素。对这些事实之一的影响，即针对泰国农民联合会的暴力行为，在统计上具有显着意义，其测试和发现与投票率模式无关。政治背景变量对投票率显示出假设的积极影响。多选区省的选民投票率高于单选区的选民。政党竞争也刺激投票率：位于由多个政党赢得议会席位的选区所代表的选区，其投票率要高于由一个政党主导选举的选区。

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  • 作者

    SUWANNARAT, GARY S. MERRITT.;

  • 作者单位

    Northern Illinois University.;

  • 授予单位 Northern Illinois University.;
  • 学科 Political Science General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1983
  • 页码 316 p.
  • 总页数 316
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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