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Exploring Objective Causal Inference in Case-Noncase Studies under the Rubin Causal Model.

机译:在鲁宾因果模型下探索案例-非案例研究中的客观因果推理。

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摘要

Case-noncase studies, also known as case-control studies, are ubiquitous in epidemiology, where a common goal is to estimate the effect of an exposure on an outcome of interest. In many areas of application, such as policy-informing drug utilization research, this effect is inherently causal. Although logistic regression, the predominant method for analysis of case-noncase data, and other traditional methodologies, may provide associative insights, they are generally inappropriate for causal conclusions. As such, they fail to address the very essence of many epidemiological investigations that employ them. In addition, these methodologies do not allow for outcome-free design (Rubin, 2007) of case-noncase data, which compromises the objectivity of resulting inferences. This thesis is directed at exploring what can be done to preserve objectivity in the causal analysis of case-noncase study data. It is structured as follows.;In Chapter 1 we introduce a formal framework for studying causal effects from case-noncase data, which builds upon the well-established Rubin Causal Model for prospective studies. In Chapter 2 we propose a two-party, three-step methodology --- PrepDA --- for objective causal inference with case-noncase data. We illustrate the application of our methodology in a simple non-trivial setting. Its operating characteristics are investigated via simulation, and compared to those of logistic and probit regression.;Chapter 3 focuses on the re-analysis of a subset of data from a published article, Karkouti et al. (2006). We investigate whether PrepDA and logistic regression, when applied to case-noncase data, can generate estimates that are concordant with those from the causal analysis of prospectively collected data. We introduce tools for covariate balance assessment across multiple imputed datasets. We explore the potential for analyst bias with logistic regression, when said method is used to analyze case-noncase data. In Chapter 4 we discuss our technology's advantages over, and drawbacks as compared to, traditional approaches.
机译:非病例研究也称为病例对照研究,在流行病学中很普遍,其共同目标是估计暴露对目标结果的影响。在许多应用领域中,例如政策指导药物利用研究,这种影响本质上是因果关系。尽管逻辑回归,非案例数据分析的主要方法以及其他传统方法可以提供相关的见解,但它们通常不适合因果关系结论。因此,它们无法解决许多采用它们的流行病学调查的本质。另外,这些方法不允许无案例数据的无结果设计(Rubin,2007),这损害了结果推论的客观性。本文旨在探讨在案例非案例研究数据的因果分析中可以采取哪些措施来保持客观性。它的结构如下:在第一章中,我们介绍了一个基于案例-非案例数据研究因果关系的正式框架,该框架基于已建立的前瞻性鲁宾因果模型。在第2章中,我们提出了一种两方,三步的方法-PrepDA-用于对非案例数据进行客观因果推断。我们说明了我们的方法在简单的非平凡设置中的应用。通过仿真研究了它的操作特性,并与逻辑和概率回归进行了比较。;第3章着重于对已发表的文章Karkouti等人的数据子集进行重新分析。 (2006)。我们调查将PrepDA和logistic回归应用于非病例数据时,是否可以产生与预期收集数据的因果分析一致的估计。我们介绍了用于跨多个估算数据集进行协变量余额评估的工具。当所说的方法用于分析非案例数据时,我们通过逻辑回归探索了潜在的分析师偏见。在第4章中,我们将讨论我们的技术相对于传统方法的优缺点。

著录项

  • 作者

    Andric, Nikola.;

  • 作者单位

    Harvard University.;

  • 授予单位 Harvard University.;
  • 学科 Statistics.;Epidemiology.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2015
  • 页码 129 p.
  • 总页数 129
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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