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The effects of post-9/11 security costs and turnaround times on international logistics flows: A quantitative study.

机译：9/11之后的安全成本和周转时间对国际物流流量的影响：定量研究。

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摘要

Post-9/11 additional security costs can increase the cost of trade. The attacks of September 11, 2011 (9/11) may have changed how the world conducts international business. Historically, factors like GDP, income similarity, and tariff intensity, have had significant correlations with trade costs and trade flows. Since 9/11, the salience of terrorism, and the potential response may have become factors that can maintain significant correlations to trade costs and trade flows. Changes in trade costs and applied security procedures could have considerable impacts on international trade flows. The specific problem that was the focus of this study was that the effects of increased costs and turnaround time from counter-terrorism efforts on freight traffic were not well-understood. The purpose of the study was to gain a better understanding of the effects of post-9/11 security measures on international logistics flows. The research design was a correlational non-experimental quantitative analysis using multiple regression on quantitative secondary data. The participants of the study were the seaports in the United States that participate in containerized international trade and charge a post-9/11 security charge. Findings from bivariate linear regression analyses revealed that the security cost of trade variable of post-9/11 security measures did not significantly predict sea freight traffic (B = .320, beta = .174, t = 1.402, p < .10). Ship turnaround variable of the post-9/11 security measures significantly predicted sea freight traffic to a seaport (B = -3.547, beta = .037, t = -2.220, p < .10). The combination of the two variables of post-9/11 security measures in a multiple regression analysis, significantly predicted sea freight traffic to a seaport R2 = .204, F(2, 22) = 2.817, p < .10, where ship turnaround time was the significant predictor and port security cost was not a significant predictor. Recommendation for practical use was that policy makers focus on ship turnaround time over port security cost, when seeking ways to improve sea freight traffic to a port. Recommendations for future research include expanding the sample size, introducing more predictors, and including seaports outside the United States.
机译：9/11之后的额外安全成本可能会增加交易成本。 2011年9月11日（9/11）的袭击可能已经改变了世界开展国际业务的方式。从历史上看，GDP，收入相似性和关税强度等因素与贸易成本和贸易流量有着显着的相关性。自9/11以来，恐怖主义的严重性以及潜在的应对措施可能已成为可以与贸易成本和贸易流量保持显着相关性的因素。贸易成本和适用安全程序的变化可能会对国际贸易流量产生重大影响。这项研究重点关注的一个具体问题是，对反恐努力增加的成本和周转时间对货运的影响并没有被很好地理解。该研究的目的是为了更好地理解9/11后安全措施对国际物流的影响。该研究设计是一个相关的非实验性定量分析，对定量二级数据进行了多元回归。该研究的参与者是美国的海港，这些海港参加了集装箱国际贸易并收取9/11之后的安全费用。从二元线性回归分析中发现，9/11后安全措施的贸易变量的安全成本并未显着预测海上货运量（B = .320，beta = .174，t = 1.402，p <.10）。 9/11后安全措施的船舶周转变量可以显着预测到港口的海上货运量（B = -3.547，β= .037，t = -2.220，p <.10）。 9/11后安全措施的两个变量的组合在多元回归分析中，显着预测到港口的海上货运量R2 = .204，F（2，22）= 2.817，p <.10，其中船舶转弯时间是重要的预测因素，而端口安全成本却不是重要的预测因素。实际使用的建议是，决策者在寻求改善通往港口的海上货运的方式时，将重点放在船舶周转时间而非港口安全成本上。对未来研究的建议包括扩大样本量，引入更多的预测变量以及包括美国以外的海港。

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  • 作者

    Nneji, Emmanuel.;

  • 作者单位

    Northcentral University.;

  • 授予单位 Northcentral University.;
  • 学科 Business Administration Management.;Transportation.;Economics Theory.
  • 学位 D.B.A.
  • 年度 2015
  • 页码 145 p.
  • 总页数 145
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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