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Breakthrough of sub-Saharan Africa's agricultural production in the 21st century: The role of foreign aid.

机译:撒哈拉以南非洲地区21世纪农业生产的突破:外国援助的作用。

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摘要

Sub-Saharan African countries' agricultural production has accelerated in the twenty-first century. This study shows that aggregate African agricultural production exhibits a breakthrough after 2000. More specifically, agricultural production breakthroughs occurred in 24 sub-Saharan African countries after 2000. 15 of them were caused by yield improvement and 8 of them were caused by area expansion. These breakthroughs helped these countries meet their increasing food consumption demands and lower their dependency on agricultural imports. However, we also found these breakthroughs were fragile. In addition to the influences of recent natural disasters and drought, these fertilizer-enabled production accelerations might also have been negatively impacted by the world food crisis due largely to higher fertilizer prices from 2008 to 2010. To understand the role of agricultural foreign aid on these breakthroughs, we grouped countries into four categories based on whether they experienced a breakthrough (Group A and B) and their reasons if they had a breakthrough. Group A1 includes countries that experienced breakthrough due to yield improvement and Group A2 includes countries with breakthrough due to area expansion.;We first quantitatively compared agricultural aid received by different groups of countries, and then we used instrumental variable regression, accounting for endogeneity in aid allocation, to estimate agricultural aid's influence on agricultural productivity. The results show that agricultural aid positively affected agricultural productivity, and countries that realized production breakthroughs, especially those achieved via yield improvement, received more agricultural aid. We found a positive correlation between aid and TFP growth. Aid also helped countries to lower their dependency on imports. The international donors are playing important roles in helping sub-Saharan Africa feed itself. The total flow of agricultural aid should definitely increase, and more emphasis could be put on improving agricultural yields in recipient countries. Agricultural research has proven to be a promising category to which to donate, but more research is called for to better understand the impact of other sub-categories of agricultural aid on sub-Saharan Africa's agricultural production.
机译:撒哈拉以南非洲国家的农业生产在二十一世纪加速了。这项研究表明,非洲的农业总产量在2000年之后呈现出突破。更具体地说,2000年之后非洲24个撒哈拉以南非洲国家出现了农业突破。其中15个是由单产提高引起的,而8个是由面积扩大引起的。这些突破帮助这些国家满足了日益增长的食品消费需求,并降低了对农业进口的依赖。但是,我们也发现这些突破是脆弱的。除了最近的自然灾害和干旱的影响之外,这些促肥料生产的加速可能还受到了世界粮食危机的负面影响,这主要是由于2008年至2010年肥料价格上涨所致。了解农业外国援助在这些方面的作用突破,我们根据国家是否经历了突破(A组和B组)以及取得突破的原因将国家分为四类。 A1组包括因产量提高而取得突破的国家,A2组包括因面积扩大而取得突破的国家。我们首先对不同国家组获得的农业援助进行定量比较,然后使用工具变量回归法分析援助的内生性分配,以估算农业援助对农业生产率的影响。结果表明,农业援助对农业生产率产生了积极影响,实现生产突破的国家,特别是通过提高产量实现突破的国家,获得了更多的农业援助。我们发现援助与TFP增长之间存在正相关。援助还帮助各国降低了对进口的依赖。国际捐助者在帮助撒哈拉以南非洲地区自给自足方面发挥着重要作用。农业援助的总流量肯定应该增加,可以更多地强调提高受援国的农业产量。事实证明,农业研究是一个有希望的捐赠类别,但需要开展更多研究,以更好地理解其他农业援助子类别对撒哈拉以南非洲农业生产的影响。

著录项

  • 作者

    Qian, Jiangyi.;

  • 作者单位

    Purdue University.;

  • 授予单位 Purdue University.;
  • 学科 Economics Agricultural.;African Studies.
  • 学位 M.S.
  • 年度 2014
  • 页码 133 p.
  • 总页数 133
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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