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The effects of short-sales and leverage constraints on market efficiency.

机译:卖空和杠杆约束对市场效率的影响。

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This dissertation is a collection of three essays on the effects of short-sales and leverage constraints on market efficiency. The first two essays are single-authored, while the third essay is coauthored with Harrison Hong and Jose Scheinkman.;The first essay investigates what drives momentum crashes. I argue that momentum crashes are due to crowded trades which push prices away from fundamentals leading to strong reversals, and exacerbated by limits of arbitrage due to impediments to short selling. I show that momentum crashes can be avoided in the cross section by shorting only non-crowded losers. There is considerably more short-covering during times when momentum fails. I show using high frequency transactions data that short covering is especially severe in the crowded loser portfolio. A placebo test using a set of 63 futures contracts show that momentum crashes do not exist in futures market after market exposure is correctly hedged, which is consistent with my hypothesis.;The second essay studies the market impact of margin changes in the metals commodity futures market. Using CFTC's proprietary transactional audit trail with detailed account information, I document substantial changes in the composition of traders when a margin change is imposed. Regardless of the direction of margin change, market participants decrease their market exposure after controlling for volatility. Moreover, the effect of margin changes depends on the fraction of traders who are levered, and thus cannot be assessed with public data.;The third essay shows that the short ratio is strongly correlated with a stock's share turnover or liquidity. So highly shorted stocks may simply be easier for arbitrageurs to cover their shorts and hence to arbitrage. We show that days-to-cover, which divides short ratio by turnover, is a superior measure of binding short-sales constraints --- stocks with high days-to-cover under-perform the market by 140 basis points per month. And this under-performance has increased significantly over time as the correlation between short ratio and share turnover has gotten more pronounced.
机译:本文是关于卖空的影响和杠杆约束对市场效率的影响的三篇论文的集合。前两篇论文是单著,而第三篇论文是与哈里森·洪和何塞·谢克曼合着的。第一篇论文研究了动量崩溃的原因。我认为动量暴跌是由于交易拥挤导致价格远离基本面导致强劲逆转,并且由于卖空障碍而导致套利限制加剧了动能崩溃。我表明,通过短接非拥挤的失败者可以避免横截面的动量崩溃。动量失效时,会有更多的空头回补。我使用高频交易数据显示,在拥挤的失败者投资组合中,空头回补尤其严重。使用一组63个期货合约的安慰剂测试表明,在正确对冲市场风险后,期货市场不存在动能暴跌,这与我的假设是一致的;第二篇文章研究了金属商品期货保证金变动对市场的影响市场。通过使用CFTC专有的交易审计跟踪以及详细的帐户信息,我可以在保证金变更时记录交易者构成的重大变化。无论保证金变化的方向如何,市场参与者在控制了波动性之后都会减少其市场敞口。此外,保证金变动的影响取决于被利用的交易者比例,因此无法通过公开数据进行评估。第三篇文章显示,空头比率与股票的股票周转率或流动性密切相关。因此,对于做空套利者而言,高度做空的股票可能更容易弥补其做空套利的可能性。我们发现,将空头比率除以周转天数的“发现天数”是约束短期销售限制的一种更好的方法-“具有较高天数”的股票每月的表现落后市场140个基点。随着时间的流逝,空头比率与股票周转率之间的相关性越来越明显,这种表现不佳的现象已经大大增加。

著录项

  • 作者

    Yan, Philip.;

  • 作者单位

    Princeton University.;

  • 授予单位 Princeton University.;
  • 学科 Finance.;Economic theory.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2014
  • 页码 125 p.
  • 总页数 125
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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