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Ecological niche modeling as a conservation tool to predict actual and potential habitat for the bog turtle, Glyptemys muhlenbergii.

机译:生态位模型作为一种保护工具,可以预测沼泽龟Glyptemys muhlenbergii的实际和潜在栖息地。

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The bog turtle (Glyptemys muhlenbergii) is faced with two principle threats: wetland habitat loss and, to a lesser degree, the illegal collection for pet trade demands. Current methodologies for bog turtle population discovery in the Southeast rely primarily on field surveys, which are labor intensive and fiscally exhaustive.;The purpose of this research was to evaluate the role of geographic information science technologies, remote sensing and ecological niche modeling to predict potential bog turtle habitats in the Southeast. Environmental data were organized in a geographic information system. The Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Production was used to develop an ecological niche model to identify additional habitat sites with the same signatures and potential capacity for support.;The results showed the area under the curve as 97%; the model correctly predicted 98.889% of the data points; and the model predicted 1.67% of the total research area as potential habitat. Areas of highest prediction will be investigated for bog turtle occupancy by trained professionals. This information will be beneficial to researchers in setting conservation priorities for the bog turtle.;Keywords: ecological niche models, bog turtles, genetic algorithm, GARP, habitat prediction, geographic information systems, remote sensing, wetlands.
机译:沼泽龟(Glyptemys muhlenbergii)面临两个主要威胁:湿地栖息地的丧失,以及在较小程度上为宠物贸易需求而非法收集的情况。东南部目前发现沼泽龟种群的方法主要依靠实地调查,这些调查是劳动密集型的并且在财政上无遗余力;该研究的目的是评估地理信息科学技术,遥感和生态位建模在预测潜力方面的作用沼泽龟栖息于东南部。环境数据是在地理信息系统中组织的。规则集生产的遗传算法被用于开发生态位模型,以识别具有相同特征和潜在支持能力的其他栖息地。结果表明,曲线下的面积为97%;该模型正确预测了98.889%的数据点;该模型预测总研究面积的1.67%为潜在栖息地。训练有素的专业人员将调查预测最高的地区的沼泽龟占用率。这些信息将有助于研究人员确定沼泽龟的保护重点。关键词:生态位模型,沼泽龟,遗传算法,GARP,栖息地预测,地理信息系统,遥感,湿地。

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