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Essays in macroeconomics of small open economies.

机译:小型开放经济体的宏观经济学论文。

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摘要

Two main themes run through the papers in this dissertation. Firstly, the papers discuss the spillovers of policy choices made by large countries on small open economies. Secondly, the papers challenge some of the basic assumptions that have been widely used by open economy models.;In analyzing the influence of external shocks on small open economies, the current literature takes the outside world as exogenous. The first essay questions this assumption and demonstrates that a three-country framework is more appropriate to analyze the influence of external shocks than the current framework. Introducing other countries into this analysis helps us quantify the relative importance of the shocks that are transmitted to small countries after passing through another country. Moreover, it allows incorporating the role of large-country monetary policy choices in influencing the shocks that are transmitted to the small open economies. The game-theoretic component of the model analyzing the interactions among large countries indicates that shocks transmitted to small countries depend upon the degree of coordination among large countries. The simulation results show that shocks that are transmitted to the small open economy through trading partners create significant volatility for the small economy.;Another commonly used assumption is the uncovered interest parity assumption. The second essay starts from a basic observation: high ratios of banking sector concentration are very common among developing countries. The essay then tests the relationship between this observation and the deviations from uncovered interest parity. The theoretical model developed demonstrates that countries with greater market power in domestic financial institutions will have the ability to discourage financial flows through their manipulation of domestic interest rates. In these markets, domestic lenders' use of their market power leads to a different correlation between financial flows and excess returns as compared to those suggested by traditional models. I find that convergence in interest rates in these markets is a result of collusive behavior. My panel data estimation indicates that there is significant evidence of the impact of financial market concentration on the relation between excess returns and the volume of the financial flows.
机译:本论文贯穿两个主要主题。首先,论文讨论了大国对小开放经济体的政策选择的溢出效应。其次,这些论文挑战了开放经济模型已经广泛使用的一些基本假设。在分析外部冲击对小型开放经济的影响时,当前的文献将外部世界视为外生的。第一篇文章对这一假设提出了质疑,并表明与当前框架相比,三国框架更适合分析外部冲击的影响。将其他国家/地区引入此分析有助于我们量化在通过另一个国家后传递到小国/地区的冲击的相对重要性。此外,它允许纳入大国货币政策选择的作用,以影响传递给小型开放经济体的冲击。分析大国之间相互作用的模型的博弈论部分表明,传递给小国的冲击取决于大国之间的协调程度。仿真结果表明,通过贸易伙伴传递给小型开放经济体的冲击会给小型经济体带来极大的波动性。另一个常用的假设是未发现的利率平价假设。第二篇文章是从一个基本观察开始的:发展中国家银行业集中度很高。然后,本文测试了这种观察与未发现的利益平价偏差之间的关系。建立的理论模型表明,在国内金融机构中具有较大市场支配力的国家将有能力通过操纵国内利率来阻止资金流动。在这些市场中,与传统模型所建议的相比,国内贷方使用其市场支配力导致资金流动与超额收益之间的不同关联。我发现这些市场的利率趋同是共谋行为的结果。我的面板数据估计表明,有大量证据表明,金融市场集中度对超额收益与资金流量之间的关系产生了影响。

著录项

  • 作者

    Ozdemir, Nilufer.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.;

  • 授予单位 The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.;
  • 学科 Economics General.;Economics Finance.;Economics Theory.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2009
  • 页码 134 p.
  • 总页数 134
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 经济学;财政、金融;经济学;
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:38:25

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