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Evaluating Observational Learning in a Competitive Two-Sided Crowdsourcing Market: A Bayesian Inferential Approach.

机译:在竞争性的双向众包市场中评估观察性学习:贝叶斯推理方法。

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摘要

This dissertation investigates the effect of observational learning in crowdsourcing markets as a lens to identify appropriate mechanism(s) for sustaining this increasingly popular business model. Observational learning occurs when crowdsourcing participating agents obtain knowledge from signals they observe in the marketplace and incorporate such knowledge into their subsequent decision making process to improve their participation outcomes. This form of learning is examined in the context of the two-sided crowdsourcing platform in which participating customers' and professionals' decisions interact with and influence each other.;Two structural models are constructed to capture customer and professional's probability of success in the presence of various constantly changing market signals. A third model is developed to capture factors that influence market outcomes such as level of participation by professionals and to examine the existence of network effects in the market. These models are estimated using the Bayesian approach on a longitudinal dataset that consists of seven years of transaction data in four product categories from a leading crowdsourcing site. The results of the study confirm the presence of learning effect in this crowdsourcing market and identify various factors that influence the probability of a professional (agent) submitting a bid to a crowdsourcing project and the probability of a customer (principal) selecting a winner through observation learning. The findings also show that the effect of such learning leads to a more accurate prediction of market outcome and stronger network effects.;The study contributes to literature by extending the Bayesian estimation framework to an emergent domain characterized by dynamic learning and two-sided competition where both sides of the market experience high uncertainty. By investigating a market where both sides of the market (customers and professionals) hold private information, the dissertation also extends the principal-agency theory to a domain where information signaling can reduce uncertainty for participating agents in the absence of bonds and guarantees. The results of the study provide important guidance on how to utilize the various information signals to facilitate learning and maximize the benefits of a two-sided crowdsourcing platform.
机译:本文研究了观察学习在众包市场中的作用,以此作为确定维持这种日益流行的商业模式的适当机制的视角。当众包参与代理商从他们在市场上观察到的信号中获取知识并将这些知识纳入其随后的决策过程以改善他们的参与成果时,便会发生观察性学习。这种学习形式是在双方众包平台的上下文中进行检验的,在该平台中,参与的客户和专业人士的决策相互影响并相互影响。构建了两种结构模型,以捕获客户和专业人士在以下情况下成功的可能性:各种不断变化的市场信号。开发了第三个模型,以捕获影响市场结果的因素,例如专业人士的参与水平,并检查市场中网络效应的存在。这些模型是使用贝叶斯方法对纵向数据集进行估算的,该纵向数据集由来自领先的众包站点的四个产品类别中的七年交易数据组成。研究结果证实了在这个众包市场中存在学习效果,并确定了影响专业人员(代理商)向众包项目投标的可能性以及客户(主要)通过观察选择获胜者的可能性的各种因素。学习。研究结果还表明,这种学习的效果导致对市场结果的更准确的预测和更强的网络效应。;该研究通过将贝叶斯估计框架扩展到以动态学习和双向竞争为特征的新兴领域,为文献做出了贡献市场双方都面临高度不确定性。通过调查市场双方(客户和专业人士)都持有私人信息的市场,论文还将委托代理理论扩展到一个领域,在没有债券和担保的情况下,信息信号可以减少参与主体的不确定性。研究结果为如何利用各种信息信号促进学习和最大程度地利用双向众包平台提供了重要指导。

著录项

  • 作者单位

    The University of Texas at San Antonio.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Texas at San Antonio.;
  • 学科 Information technology.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2017
  • 页码 125 p.
  • 总页数 125
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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