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中俄经贸合作新进展及未来发展趋势

         

摘要

2014年以来,在结构弊病积重难返、西方对俄制裁延期、国际油价低位徘徊等多种因素叠加的影响下,俄罗斯经济逐步陷入深度衰退,中俄双边贸易也受到严重的冲击,贸易额大幅下降。然而,贸易额的萎缩并不代表中俄经贸合作水平的下降。中俄两国在能源、金融与投资、高科技与装备制造、电子商务等领域的合作均取得了显著成果。从长期看,中俄两国将开启全方位能源合作时代,传统的劳动密集型产品对俄出口将呈下降趋势,大项目投资在经贸合作中将发挥引擎作用,产能和装备制造业合作将成为新的增长点,成功推动丝绸之路经济带与欧亚经济联盟对接也会为中俄经贸合作深化发展提供新的动力。%Since 2014, under the influences of many factors including the ingrained structural drawbacks, delay of the west’s sanction to Russia, fluctuation of international oil price at the low level, etc., the economy of Russia has gradually been caught in the deep recession, the bilateral trade between China and Russia also suffered severe impact, and the trade volume was greatly reduced. However, the shrinking of trade volume does not represent the decrease of economic and trade cooperation level between China and Russia. China and Russia have both achieved remarkable results in the cooperation in energy, finance and investment, high technology and equipment manufacturing, economic commerce and other fields. In the long run, China and Russia will start the era of comprehensive energy cooperation, the export of traditional labor intensive products to Russia will present the reduction tendency, the large project investment will play engine role in the economic and trade cooperation, and the cooperation in capacity and equipment manufacturing will become the new growth point, thus successfully promoting the butt joint between the Silk Road Economic Belt and Eurasian Economic Union and providing new impetus for the deepened economic and trade cooperation between China and Russia.

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