The purpose of this study is to research the relationship between the price and the factors in the one-hour-tour city agglomeration in the Pearl River Delta, and reveal the impact degree of the factors on the house price in the area. Methods of econometric analysis and demonstration modeling were employed. The results indicate that there is a long-term and stable co-integrative relation between the house prices and the studied factors in the area. Meanwhile, there is the bilateral causality between GDP and house price, along which the GDP's contribution to the change of house price is the highest. It is concluded that the economic development situation is the main clue for studying the house price fluctuation in the area, and due to the different impacts of the factors, it is necessary to simultaneously take into account the influential factors when design the policies of controlling house price.%研究目的:研究珠三角一小时城市圈房价与其影响因素的相关关系,揭示各影响因素对该地区房价及其波动的影响程度。研究方法:计量经济分析方法和建模。研究结果:研究区房价与其影响因素之间存在长期稳定的协整关系;GDP与房价之间存在双向因果关系,GDP变化对房价波动的贡献最大。研究结论:研究珠三角一小时城市圈的房价波动应把握该地区的经济发展形势这条主线;各影响因素对房价波动的影响程度存在差异,应当综合考虑多种影响因素对房价进行调控。
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