首页> 中文期刊> 《疑难病杂志》 >SPAN-100评分联合炎性标志物预测缺血性脑卒中静脉溶栓后症状性颅内出血的风险

SPAN-100评分联合炎性标志物预测缺血性脑卒中静脉溶栓后症状性颅内出血的风险

         

摘要

Objective To assess the ability of SPAN-100 score combining hs-CRP level in predicting risk of symp-tomatic intracerebral hemorrhage ( sICH) following the recombinant tissue plasminogen activator ( rtP-A) intravenous throm-bolysis (IVT) treatment in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients.Methods Ninety-three cases of AIS patients within 4 .5h of stroke onset who were treated in Department of Neurology , Hubei provincial Hospital of Integrated Chinese&Western Medi-cine between May 1st, 2012 to March 1st, 2016 were enrolled.According to the head CT or MR and the change of NIHSS score,they were divided in sICH group and non-sICH group.Univariate analysis was used to assess the differences of SPAN-100 score, hs-CRP and risk factors for cerebrovascular disease between sICH group and non -sICH group.Further, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to assess the independent predicted factors affecting sICH .Receiver op-erating characteristic ( ROC) curve analysis and calculation of the area under the curve ( AUC) were applied to evaluate the performance of SPAN-100 score, hs-CRP level and SPAN-100 combined with hs-CRP level in predicting sICH .Results Uni-variate analysis of baseline data:the sICH group age( t =2.766, P =0.007), NIHSS score before IVT( t =3.679, P =0.000), systolic blood pressure before IVT( t =3.613, P =0.004), hs-CRP level( t =2.305, P =0.023)and SPAN-100 positive(χ2 =19.079, P =0.000)were higher than non-sICH group, all differences had statistical significances (all P <0.05).Univariate Pearson correlation analysis showed elderly age , high NIHSS score before IVT, high systolic blood pressure before IVT, high hs-CRP level and SPAN-100 positive had positive correlation of sICH ( r =0.278, r =0.360, r =0.248, r =0 L.235, r =0.453, all P <0.05).Take above factors to multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that elderly age (OR=1.171,95%CI 1.018-1.346),elevated hs-CRP level (OR=1.258, 95%CI 1.032-1.533) and SPAN-100 posi-tive (OR=9.729, 95%CI 1.386-68.277) were the independent prediction factors for risk of sICH .ROC curve analysis showed AUC (SPAN-100)=0.726 (95%CI 0.503-0.950), AUC (hs-CRP level) =0.711 (95%CI 0.501-0.921) and AUC (SPA-100 +hs-CRP level) =0.768 (95%CI 0.548-0.989), all P <0.05.Conclusion It demonstrated that the SPAN-100 score was a simple , easy to calculate and effective predictive sICH tools , combined with CRP HS detection can sig-nificantly improve the predictive value of sICH .%目的:分析SPAN-100评分联合高敏C-反应蛋白( hs-CRP)预测缺血性脑卒中( AIS)静脉溶栓( IVT)后症状性颅内出血( sICH)风险的价值。方法连续纳入2012年5月1日—2016年3月1日在湖北省中西医结合医院神经内科住院进行IVT治疗、并有完整临床资料的AIS患者93例,AIS发病4栽.5 h内应用rt-PA进行IVT治疗,按溶栓后复查头颅CT或MR和NIHSS评分变化分为sICH组(8例)和非non-sICH组(85例)。分析2组SPAN-100评分、hs-CRP及其相关脑血管病危险因素的差异,并进一步分析影响sICH发生的独立预测因素。采用受试者工作特征( ROC)曲线分析计算曲线下面积( AUC)及95%CI评价SPAN-100评分、hs-CRP和两者联合预测sICH发生的价值。结果2组基线资料分析表明,sICH组年龄、溶栓前NIHSS评分、溶栓前收缩压、hs-CRP水平和SPAN-100评分阳性明显高于non-sICH组( t =2.766、3.679、3.613、2.305,χ2=19.079, P均<0.05)。单因素分析表明,年龄、溶栓前NIH-SS评分、溶栓前收缩压、hs-CRP水平和SPAN-100评分与sICH均呈正相关关系( r =0.278、0.360、0.248、0.235、0.453, P均<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析表明,年龄大(OR=1.171,95%CI 1.018~1.346)、hs-CRP水平升高(OR=1.258,95%CI 1.032~1.533)、SPAN-100评分阳性(OR=9.729,95%CI 1.386~68.277)是发生sICH的独立预测因素。 ROC曲线分析表明,SPAN-100评分AUC =0.726(95%CI 0.503~0.950)、hs-CRP水平AUC=0.711(95%CI 0.501~0.921)和两者联合AUC=0.768(95%CI 0.548~0.989),差异均有统计学意义( P <0.05)。结论 SPAN-100评分是一种简单、易计算、有效的预测sICH的工具,与hs-CRP联合检测可明显提高预测IVT后sICH的价值。

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