通过多主体建模的方法,结合行为博弈中的经验加权吸引学习模型,研究个体在面临环境变化时的惯例执行策略选择.研究表明,个体倾向于维持现有的行为,这使得组织惯例表现出惯性特征;组织惯例与环境的潜在偏离程度增加会促使行为变化的产生,但这种变化行为又包含了渐进式改变现有惯例和惯例变革两种形式,且后者的发展进程更快;如果组织惯例的执行行为与持续变化的环境具有严重的潜在偏离性,但偏离发展的进程缓慢,这种情况将导致组织内某些时期出现突然性的惯例变革,且渐进式改变现有惯例的进程不再出现.%This study investigates the individual strategy selection when individuals faced with environmental change by multi-agent modeling combined the experience-weighted attraction algorithm. We find that individuals tend to maintain their current behavior, which makes the organizations present inertia characteristic. Potential deviation degree of organizational routines from external environment promotes emerge of behavior changes, but these changes include gradual change and break-through change of existing routines, and the latter has quicker progress. If the execution behaviors of organizational routines have a serious potential deviation from constantly changing the environment, but the deviation progress is slow, this situation will lead to the drastic break-through change in the organizational routine system and gradual change doesn't appear.
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