文章基于空间经济学视角，采用熵值法、空间自相关和空间计量模型，对长江三角洲物流发展指数进行测度，并对其时空演变格局及影响机理进行了探讨。结果表明：近15年来长江三角洲整体物流发展水平得到了显著提升，但城市处于非均衡发展状态，差距有所扩大；城市物流发展呈现出明显的空间关联性，空间格局经历由集中向分散再到集中的演变；经济发展水平、政府干预程度、城市规模和消费流通水平对物流发展存在显著正相关，影响程度在上升；对外开放程度在初期对物流发展促进作用显著，随着时间的推移促进作用不显著；基础设施对物流发展存在消化吸收的过程，随着时间的推移促进作用显著；产业结构和区位条件对物流发展的影响不显著。%This paper, based on the perspective of spatial economics, employ entropy method, spatial autocorrelation method and spatial econometric model to measure the logistics development index, and makes a study of the development pattern and effect mechanism of logistics industry in the Yangtze River Delta. The results show that the overall logistics development level of the Yangtze River Delta has risen greatly in recently 15 years, the cities keep in a state of unbalanced development, and the gap has been widened. The development of urban logistics has an obvious spatial correlation and its spatial pattern concentrat⁃ed from the centralized distribution to the concentration. The economic growth, government intervention, city size and consum⁃er circulation have a significant positive correlation with the logistics development, and the influence degree is increasing. The opening level has a significant effect on the development of logistics industry at the beginning, however, this turns to have little effect as time goes by. The infrastructure level is not immediately visible, needing for an absorption and digestion process at the beginning, however this turns to have a positive effect gradually. The industrial structure and geographic conditions have little impact on the logistics industry.
展开▼
