为探索湖南省单位GDP电耗大幅下降的原因,通过改进产业结构合理性衡量指标的核算方法,合成湖南省类泰尔指数.在此基础上,构建广义可加模型,研究湖南省产业结构合理性、能源消费结构以及技术进步对电力消费强度的影响机制及影响强度.实证结果表明,能源消费结构对单位GDP电耗的影响是不显著的;而产业结构合理性对电力消费强度的影响虽然显著,但两者并不是单调关系;技术进步对湖南省单位增加值电耗的影响是显著且单调的.为验证上述研究结论的普适性,进一步对中部6省进行相关的研究,研究结论较为一致.%To explore the causes for the sharp decline of unit GDP power consumption in Hunan Province,the paper improves the accounting method for the industrial structure rationality evaluating indicators,and synthetizes the Theil index.A generalized additive model is established to study the impact mechanism and impact intensity of Hunan province's industrial structure rationality,the energy consumption structure and technological progress on the intensity of the power consumption.The empirical results show that the rationality of industrial structure has significant and non-monotonic influence on the power consumption intensity,and the technological progress has significant and monotonic influence on the unit value-added power consumption,while the energy consumption structure has insignificant influence on the unit GDP power consumption.To verify the universality of the conclusions,the author further studies six provinces in central China,and all the results are consistent and strongly proves the correctness of the conclusions.
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