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高速铁路气象灾害风险分析与区划方法探讨

         

摘要

Referring to the relevant research results of risk zoning of meteorological disasters,we preliminarily explore the risk analysis and zoning methods of meteorological disasters in high-speed railway.Starting from the im-pact of meteorological disasters on high-speed railway,we analyze the strong winds,floods,lightning,snow and ice and other meteorological disaster risk assessment factors,construct the evaluation index system,establish the evalu-ation model,and analyze the risk zoning plan that can reflect the occurrence time,space and intensity of meteoro-logical disasters along the railway line,to provide reference for the scientific development of meteorological disaster risk zoning.%借鉴已有气象灾害风险区划相关研究成果,初步探讨高速铁路气象灾害风险分析与区划方法。从气象灾害对高速铁路的影响机理入手,分析筛选出大风、水灾、雷电、低温雨雪冰冻等气象灾害的风险评价因子,构建区划评价指标体系,建立评价模型,分析制定可体现高速铁路沿线气象灾害风险发生时间、空间、强度可能性的风险区划方案,为科学制定沿线气象灾害风险区划提供参考依据。

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