首页> 中文期刊> 《灾害学》 >津冀沿海地区海平面上升的风险评估研究

津冀沿海地区海平面上升的风险评估研究

         

摘要

气候变化引起的海平面上升将给沿海地区社会经济发展和生态环境带来严重的影响。津冀沿海地区地势低平极易受到海平面上升的直接影响,该文以津冀沿海地区为例,对海平面上升风险评估方法进行示范应用,评估该地区海平面上升的风险,区划海平面上升风险,并提出风险管理的建议。结果表明,天津滨海新区、河北黄骅市等地面临的海平面上升风险较高,在沿海发展规划和重大工程建设中应充分考虑海平面上升因素。%Sea level rise which caused by climate change will bring serious affect to the socio-economic devel-opment and ecological environment of coastal areas.The low-lying coastal areas of Tianjin and Hebei province are vulnerable to the direct impact of the sea level rise.The coastal areas of Tianjin and Hebei are taken as an example to demonstrate the application of the risk assessment methods of the sea level rise,zoning the risk of the sea level rise ,and to give the recommendations of the risk management.The results show that,Tianjin Binhai New Area and Huang Hua have high risk of sea level rise,the factor of sea level rise should be fully considered in the coastal de-velopment planning and major construction projects.

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