本文通过格兰杰因果检验以及动态模型分析1998年以来国际油价对中国通货膨胀是否有预测的作用。发现国际油价确实在阶段性对中国的通货膨胀有预测作用，这对于中国预防以及控制通胀有一定的指导作用。%Based on Grant causality test and dynamic model, this paper tries to analyze whether the international oil prices have predictive effects on the inflation in China since 1998. It turns out that international oil prices indeed have the predictive effect in certain periods, which may provide with certain guidance in the control and prevention of inflation in China.
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