For the next four factors restricting the development of chinese agriculture, we use the AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) to build the hierarchical model of agricultural development. According to the results of the model, it’s obvious that in current China, the most urgent problem is that "200 million people are still not self-sufficient in food". And the followed problem is"the poverty of rural people". Problems of"lack of water and land" and "urbanization" can be suspended, but it does not mean that we can neglect them. We had better solve these problems as soon as possible. Subsequently, we have specific analysis for these problems and give some advice to help improve the situation.%针对四个制约中国未来农业发展的因素，利用层次分析方法构建了农业发展层次分析模型，得出在当下中国，解决“仍有两亿人口的粮食不能自给”最为迫切；其次是解决“农村贫困人口的生活问题”；“缺水、地少”和“城镇化与农转非”问题可暂缓，但也应尽快解决。后续具体分析了各种问题的现状并给出相关改善意见。
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