The popularization of higher education has witnessed diverse forms of local colleges and univer-sities.From the perspective of life cycle theory, local colleges and universities should have reached a rapid growth period developing from the initial period.However,the development of local colleges and universities will be confronted with the dilemma of deliberative thinking with the goals of constructing first-rate universi-ties and first-rate disciplines.Based on the review of the dynamic development of transformations in terms of scale,connotation and structure in twenty years' development of popularization of higher education,this paper has selected relevant journal articles in WOS and CSSCI from 1998 to 2017,and used CiteSpace visualization analysis.The findings indicate that in terms of time distribution, impact and significance, there are obvious shortcomings in our research with a trend characterized by the practice of localization,and its development and knowledge base being relatively simplistic.%随着高等教育大众化的发展,地方院校呈现出多元化的型态表征.从生命周期理论角度来看,地方院校理应从初创期进入快速成长期.然而,在当下"双一流"建设目标下,地方院校发展将面临慎思的困境.因此,在回顾高等教育大众化发展20年来所表现出的规模转型、内涵转型和结构转型这一动态发展过程的基础上,选取1998—2017年间SCI、CSSCI中相关主题的期刊论文,通过文献计量学CiteSpace可视化分析可知,在时间分布、影响力和重要性方面,我国研究成果明显不足,在研究热点及趋势上具有明显的本土化实践特征,在研究前沿和知识基础上则表现出相对单一性.
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