利用中国科技创新景气指数和宏观经济景气指数合成中国科技创新驱动经济增长指数,将该指数划分为5个景气状态预警区间,运用先行合成指数预测模型、判别分析、预警信号灯系统等多种方法对中国科技创新;经济增长预警问题进行研究,规范了区域科技创新驱动经济增长预警研究方法体系.%In this paper,China's economic grow th driven by scientific and technological innovation boom index is synthesized by using China's scientific and technological innovation boom index and the macroeconomic boom index.The driven index is divided into five boom warning interval.The paper studies the early warning of economic growth driven by China's scientific and technological innovation by using the methods of leading composite index prediction,ARIMA model,discriminant anal-ysis and early warning signal lamp system.The paper further standardizes the research method system on early warning of economic grow th driven by regional science and technology innovation.
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