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黄茨滑坡时间预测预报

         

摘要

以甘肃黄茨滑坡为例,运用excel和MATLAB软件实现了基于位移信息的Verhulst,GM灰色系统模型和斋藤的蠕变模型的滑坡预测,并对结果进行了比较分析,最后得出了一些有意义的结论.%The Huangci landslide in Gansu province was taken as an example in this paper. Based on the Verhulst, GM (1, 1) grey model and Saito's method of the displacement information, comparison and analysis was conducted on the time forecast of Huangci landslide. The predictionof the landslide-time and the predicted curve of deformation development were resulted by Excel and Matlab. In the end, some meaningful conclusions were reached.

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