根据利益相关者理论，文章将中国大陆、东盟看作是南海争端的主要利益相关者，美国、台湾属于次要利益相关者。两岸的南海角色呈现一主一次。尽管两岸的南海政策带有某些相似性，但也具有实质性差异。并且，由于与其他利益相关者的不同关系和各自实力的强弱也使得它们产生了近乎完全不同的政策效果。总体上说，两岸南海政策都尚对其他利益相关者缺乏有效的牵约力，南海争端将继续朝着大陆、东盟、美国的三角博弈方向发展，两岸在南海的合作空间渐次受到压缩，这使得台湾在南海纷争中的边缘危机在所难免。%According to the stakeholder theory, this paper will regard the mainland China and ASEAN as the main stakeholders in the SCS disputes, while the United States and Taiwan belong to the secondary stakeholders. The mainland China and Taiwan present a major role and a minor role in the cross-strait of Taiwan. Although their SCS policies have some consistency, there are also fundamental differences. Their different relationships with other stakeholders and actual strength make them get nearly complete different policy effects. As a whole, their polices have not formed the constraining force to other stakeholders, the SCS disputes will continue to develop in the triangle game including the mainland China, U. S. and ASEAN. The cooperation space will be compressed gradually in SCS between the two sides, which makes Taiwan hard to a-void the crisis of marginalization in SCS.
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