本文通过实地调研和大数据分析相结合的方式, 探索我国村镇发展的当前特点及发展趋势.总体而言, 预计我国村镇未来将延续三大发展趋势:一是城乡长期共存、农村适度集聚, 小城镇在衰落时期正面临新的发展机遇;二是预计未来东中西部的城乡将以不同模式集聚, 小城镇内部的分化趋势加剧;三是随着村镇产业的转型升级, 新功能、新业态将进入乡村地区;四是随着乡村经济发展水平的持续提升, 基本公共服务供给成为基层村镇建设的重点, 并进一步影响村镇空间格局的整合重构.%This paper attempts to explore the current characteristics and development trends of villages and towns in China through field research and large data analysis. Generally speaking, it is expected that China's villages and towns will continue three major development trends. First, urban and rural areas will coexist for a long time, with moderate rural agglomeration, and small towns are facing new development opportunities when experiencing decline. Second, it is expected that the urban and rural areas in the eastern, central, and western regions will agglomerate in different modes, and the differentiation trend within small towns will intensify. Third, with the transformation and upgrading of rural industries, many new functions and new formats will enter rural areas; Fourth, with the continuous improvement of rural economies, the supply of basic public services has become the focus of the construction of grass-roots villages and towns and will further affect the integration and reconstruction of the spatial pattern of villages and towns.
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