本文采用大气模式结合CFD降尺度技术，针对哈密东南部地区某风电项目进行精细化计算，获得多年气象参数的时间序列。通过对温度和风速时间序列的逐年统计，分析风电机组在不同运行温度范围下的发电量折减和不确定性。本文采用的方法可为风电机组设计、选型和项目技术经济评价提供数据基础。%In this paper, based on atmospheric model integrated with CFD technology to do downscaling, we get fner computation result of climate data time serial over multi years of one wind farm in southeast of Hami. According to the year afer year statistical analysis of temperature&wind speed, we can defne the factors of production loss&uncertainties in diferent operational temperature ranges. Te method mentioned in this paper can provide basic data for wind turbine design, type selection and project techno-economic evaluation.
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