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Cancer Incidence Trend in the Hebei Spirit Oil Spill Area from 1999 to 2014: An Ecological Study

机译:1999年至2014年河北省精神石油泄漏区癌症发病趋势的生态学研究

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摘要

The Hebei Spirit oil spill (HSOS) occurred in the Republic of Korea on 7 December 2007. We aimed to describe the cancer incidence trend in Taean County before and after the oil spill. Five major cancers and leukemia were analyzed. Cancer incidence data were obtained from the Korean National Cancer Center. We compared the standardized incidence rates in Taean with those observed nationwide and selected three coastal areas. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to examine the trends in the average annual percent change and perform comparisons. The incidence rate of prostate cancer increased from 2007 to 2009 at an annual average of 39.3% (95% confidence interval (CI): −25.9, 161.8), 13.5% (95% CI: 11.7, 15.4), and 15.6% (95% CI: 11.9, 19.5), respectively, in Taean, nationwide, and in the coastal areas. The incidence of leukemia among women increased at an annual average of 9.5% (95% CI: −26.6, 63.4) in Taean and 0.6% (95% CI: 0.2, 0.9) nationwide; the rate decreased by 1.9% (95% CI: −12.8, 10.4) in the coastal areas. The trends between Taean County and the coastal areas differed only for prostate cancer (p = 0.0004). The incidence of prostate cancer among Taean County residents has increased since the HSOS.
机译:2007年12月7日,大韩民国发生了河北精神溢油事故(HSOS)。我们的目的是描述溢油发生前后泰安县的癌症发生趋势。分析了五种主要的癌症和白血病。癌症发病率数据是从韩国国家癌症中心获得的。我们将泰安的标准化发病率与全国范围内观察到的发病率进行了比较,并选择了三个沿海地区。 Joinpoint回归分析用于检查平均年百分比变化趋势并进行比较。从2007年到2009年,前列腺癌的发病率以年均39.3%(95%置信区间(CI):-25.9、161.8),13.5%(95%CI:11.7、15.4)和15.6%(95)的比例增加CI:11.9%,19.5%)分别在Taean,全国和沿海地区。在塔伊恩州,妇女的白血病发病率每年平均增长9.5%(95%CI:-26.6,63.4),在全国范围内平均增长0.6%(95%CI:0.2,0.9)。在沿海地区,该比例下降了1.9%(95%CI:-12.8,10.4)。 Taean县和沿海地区之间的趋势仅在前列腺癌方面有所不同(p = 0.0004)。自从HSOS以来,Taean县居民中前列腺癌的发病率有所增加。

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