Forecasting imbalances in the global health labor market and devising policy responses

机译：预测全球卫生劳动力市场的失衡并制定政策对策

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BackgroundThe High-Level Commission on Health Employment and Economic Growth released its report to the United Nations Secretary-General in September 2016. It makes important recommendations that are based on estimates of over 40 million new health sector jobs by 2030 in mostly high- and middle-income countries and a needs-based shortage of 18 million, mostly in low- and middle-income countries. This paper shows how these key findings were developed, the global policy dilemmas they raise, and relevant policy solutions.

机译：背景信息卫生就业和经济增长高级别委员会于2016年9月向联合国秘书长发布了报告。该报告提出了重要建议，其依据是，到2030年，估计将有4,000万个新的卫生部门工作在高中和中等职位上开展收入国家和基于需求的短缺1800万，其中大多数出现在中低收入国家。本文说明了这些主要发现是如何发展的，它们引起的全球政策困境以及相关的政策解决方案。

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期刊名称 Human Resources for Health
作者
Richard M. Scheffler; James Campbell; Giorgio Cometto; Akiko Maeda; Jenny Liu; Tim A. Bruckner; Daniel R. Arnold; Tim Evans;
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作者单位

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年(卷),期 2018(16),-1
年度 2018
页码 5
总页数 10
原文格式 PDF
正文语种
中图分类
关键词
Health workforce Global health;

机译：卫生人力;全球卫生;

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1. Forecasting imbalances in the global health labor market and devising policy responses [J] . Richard M. Scheffler, James Campbell, Giorgio Cometto, Human Resources for Health . 2018,第1期

机译：预测全球卫生劳动力市场的失衡并制定政策对策
2. Globalization and risk averse workers: The roles of labor market and trade policies [J] . Ranjan Priya Journal of International Economics . 2016,第nova期

机译：全球化和规避风险的工人：劳动力市场和贸易政策的作用
3. The impact of labor policies on the health of young children in the context of economic globalization [J] . HeymannJ., EarleA., McNeillK. Annual Review of Public Health . 2013,第Null期

机译：经济全球化背景下劳动政策对幼儿健康的影响
4. '… LIKE HOLDING THE WOLF BY THE EARS …' THE KEY TO REGAINING ELECTRONIC PRODUCTION MARKET SHARE: BREAKING FREE OF THE DIVISION OF LABOR MANUFACTURING MODEL IN HIGH LABOR COST GLOBAL REGIONS [C] . Tom Borkes SMTA international conference . 2008

机译：“……像耳朵一样狼吞虎咽……”保持电子生产市场份额的关键：在全球高成本的劳动力市场上摆脱劳动力制造模式的划分
5. Globalization, monetary policy and labor market dynamics. [D] . Zhang, Wen. 2016

机译：全球化，货币政策和劳动力市场动态。
6. Mobility of Spanish nurses in a globalized labor market: the impact on health [O] . M Teresa Icart-Isern, Anna M Pulpón-Segura, Carme Icart-Isern 1978

机译：全球化劳动力市场中西班牙护士的流动性：对健康的影响
7. We analyze, in this paper, a DSGE New Keynesian model with indi- visible labor where firms may belong to two different final goods producing sectors one where wages and employment are determined in competitive labor markets and the orther where wages and employment are the result of a contractual process between unions and firms. Bargaining between firms and monopoly unions implies real wage rigidity in the model and, in turn, an endogenous trade-off between output stabilization and infla- tion stabilization. We show that the negative effect of a productivity shock on inflation and the positive effect of a cost-push shock is crucially determined by the proportion of firms that belong to the competitive sec- tor. The larger is this number, the smaller are these effects. We derive a welfare based objective function as a second order Taylor approxima- tion of the expected utility of the economy's representative agent and we analyze optimal monetary policy. We show that the larger is the num- ber of firms that belong to the competitive sector, the smaller should be the response of the nominal interest rate to exogenous productivity and cost-push shocks. If we consider, however, an instrument rule where the interest rate must react to inflationary expectations, the rule is not af- fected by the structure of the labor market. The results of the model are consistent with a well known empirical regularity in macroeconomics, i.e. that employment volatility is larger than real wage volatility. [O] . Lorenza Rossi, Fabrizio Mattesini 100

机译：在本文中，我们分析了DsGE新凯恩斯主义模型，该模型具有明显的劳动力，其中企业可能属于两个不同的最终产品生产部门，其中工资和就业是在竞争性劳动力市场中确定的，而工资和就业是由工资和就业导致的。工会和公司之间的合同过程。企业和垄断联盟之间的讨价还价意味着模型中的实际工资刚性，反过来，产出稳定和通货膨胀稳定之间的内生权衡。我们表明，生产率冲击对通货膨胀的负面影响以及成本推动冲击的积极影响，主要取决于属于竞争部门的企业比例。这个数字越大，这些效果越小。我们得出一个基于福利的目标函数作为经济代理人的预期效用的二阶泰勒近似，我们分析最优货币政策。我们表明，属于竞争性行业的企业数量越大，名义利率对外生生产率和成本推动冲击的反应就越小。但是，如果我们考虑利率必须对通胀预期作出反应的工具规则，则该规则不受劳动力市场结构的影响。该模型的结果与宏观经济学中众所周知的经验规律一致，即就业波动率大于实际工资波动率。

Forecasting imbalances in the global health labor market and devising policy responses

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