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Prediction of the impact on air quality of the cities receiving cruise tourism: the case of the Port of Barcelona

机译：预测乘坐邮轮旅游的城市对空气质量的影响：以巴塞罗那港为例

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摘要

The cruise tourism industry has experienced significant growth in recent years and has a very positive outlook for the future. However, its environmental impact requires a review of its sustainability, including the analysis of its social, economic and environmental balance, and the evaluation of its impact on port cities receiving cruise ships. The purpose of this document is twofold: First, to analyze the relationship between air quality, as an environmental variable, and the volume of cruise ships and passengers that visit a port with the aim of generating information. Secondly, it is intended to develop an index, based on the information already available that allows cities to predict the impact of this activity, so that decisions are made to alleviate these effects. Methods: The primary data taken monthly for the period 2006–2017, related to the level of emissions and the number of cruises and passengers, are used as a basis. A regression analysis is performed to determine the relationship between air pollution and the number of tourists coming from the cruise ships. As a contribution, the results show the influence of this type of tourism on environmental indicators. In addition, in an original way, a regression function is established that allows estimating the future impact of the cruise industry in the ports cities. So that, cities can prevent this type of environmental impact. This will make it easier for the cruise tourism industry to develop more sustainable models in the long term.
机译：近年来，邮轮旅游业取得了长足的发展，对未来的前景非常乐观。但是，其对环境的影响需要对其可持续性进行审查，包括对其社会，经济和环境平衡的分析，以及对其对接收游轮港口城市的影响的评估。本文档的目的是双重的：首先，分析作为环境变量的空气质量与来港以产生信息的游轮和旅客数量之间的关系。其次，它打算根据已有的信息制定一个指数，使城市能够预测这一活动的影响，以便做出减轻这些影响的决定。方法：将2006-2017年期间每月获取的与排放水平以及乘船人数和人数相关的主要数据用作基础。进行回归分析以确定空气污染与游轮游客人数之间的关系。作为一项贡献，结果表明了这种类型的旅游业对环境指标的影响。此外，以原始方式建立了回归函数，该函数可以估算邮轮业对港口城市的未来影响。这样，城市就可以防止此类环境影响。从长远来看，这将使邮轮旅游业更容易开发更具可持续性的模式。

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