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General Epistatic Models of the Risk of Complex Diseases

机译:复杂疾病风险的一般上位模型

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摘要

The range of possible gene interactions in a multilocus model of a complex inherited disease is studied by exploring genotype-specific risks subject to the constraint that the allele frequencies and marginal risks are known. We quantify the effect of gene interactions by defining the interaction ratio, , where KR is the recurrence risk to relatives with relationship R for the true model and is the recurrence risk to relatives for a multiplicative model with the same marginal risks. We use a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) procedure to sample from the space of possible models. We find that the average of CR increases with the number of loci for both low frequency (p = 0.03) and higher frequency (p = 0.25) causative alleles. Furthermore, the probability that CR > 1 is nearly 1. Similar results are obtained when more weight is given to risk models that are closer to the comparable multiplicative model. These results imply that, in general, gene interactions will result in greater heritability of a complex inherited disease than is expected on the basis of a multiplicative model of interactions and hence may provide a partial explanation for the problem of missing heritability of complex diseases.
机译:通过探索受特定等位基因频率和边际风险限制的基因型特异性风险,研究了复杂遗传疾病的多基因座模型中可能的基因相互作用范围。我们通过定义相互作用比来量化基因相互作用的影响,其中KR是真实模型中具有关系R的亲属的复发风险,是具有相同边际风险的乘法模型的亲属的复发风险。我们使用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)过程从可能的模型空间进行采样。我们发现,低频(p = 0.03)和高频(p = 0.25)致病等位基因的CR均随基因座数目的增加而增加。此外,CR> 1的概率接近1。如果将更多的权重分配给更接近可比乘法模型的风险模型,则可以获得类似的结果。这些结果暗示,一般而言,基因相互作用将导致复杂遗传疾病的遗传力比基于相互作用的乘法模型所预期的更高,因此可以为复杂疾病遗传力缺失的问题提供部分解释。

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