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The magnitude distribution of declustered earthquakes in Southern California

机译:南方降雪地震的震级分布 加利福尼亚州

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摘要

The binned distribution densities of magnitudes in both the complete and the declustered catalogs of earthquakes in the Southern California region have two significantly different branches with crossover magnitude near M = 4.8. In the case of declustered earthquakes, the b-values on the two branches differ significantly from each other by a factor of about two. The absence of self-similarity across a broad range of magnitudes in the distribution of declustered earthquakes is an argument against the application of an assumption of scale-independence to models of main-shock earthquake occurrence, and in turn to the use of such models to justify the assertion that earthquakes are unpredictable. The presumption of scale-independence for complete local earthquake catalogs is attributable, not to a universal process of self-organization leading to future large earthquakes, but to the universality of the process that produces aftershocks, which dominate complete catalogs.
机译:在南加州地区的完整地震目录和减震地震目录中,装仓的分布密度等级具有两个明显不同的分支,交叉等级接近M = 4.8。在地震消散的情况下,两个分支上的b值彼此之间相差约2倍。在成簇地震的分布范围内没有大范围的自相似性,这是反对将规模独立性假设应用于主震发生模型的论证,反过来又将此类模型用于证明地震是不可预测的这一说法是合理的。完整的本地地震目录的规模独立性推定不是由于导致未来大地震的普遍的自组织过程,而是由于余震过程的普遍性,而余震主导了完整的目录。

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