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首页> 美国卫生研究院文献>Jmb: Journal of Disaster Risk Studies >Considering flood risk in spatial development planning: A land use conflict analysis approach
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Considering flood risk in spatial development planning: A land use conflict analysis approach

机译：在空间发展规划中考虑洪水风险：一种土地利用冲突分析方法

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摘要

Flooding is the predominant natural hazard observed in Africa, and it often leads to damage to property and losses in human lives. To ensure that the detrimental effects of flooding are kept to a minimum, flood-prone areas should best be left undeveloped. Spatial development planning is a tool that can assist disaster risk managers in ensuring the aforementioned. This article proposes the use of a land use conflict analysis approach through which flood risk can be considered in spatial development planning in a proactive manner, specifically contributing to the flood risk management effort. A land use conflict analysis approach, relying on a variety of spatial analysis techniques, was used to identify areas that were both suitable for residential development and free from flood risk in the Batlhaping Ba-Ga-Phuduhucwana tribal area in South Africa. It was found that only 8% of the study area met these criteria. A comparison between the identified 8% and the existing spatial development plan for the study area revealed that some of the areas portrayed as suitable for development in the current spatial development plan are in fact flood risk areas. The article illustrates the value that a land use conflict analysis approach might have for flood risk management when integrated with spatial development planning.>Keywords: flooding; land use conflict analysis; suitability analysis; flood-prone area; disaster management; spatial development planning; South Africa.
机译：洪水是在非洲观察到的主要自然灾害，它常常导致财产损失和生命损失。为了确保将洪水的有害影响降至最低，最好不要将容易发生洪水的地区发展。空间发展规划是一种工具，可以帮助灾难风险管理人员确保上述内容。本文提出了一种土地利用冲突分析方法的使用，通过该方法可以在空间发展规划中以积极的方式考虑洪水风险，特别是有助于洪水风险管理工作。依靠各种空间分析技术的土地利用冲突分析方法，被用于在南非的巴特勒普林Ba-Ga-Phuduhucwana部落地区确定既适合住宅开发又没有洪水风险的地区。发现只有8％的研究区域符合这些标准。将确定的8％与研究区域的现有空间开发计划进行比较，可以发现，当前空间开发计划中某些适合发展的区域实际上是洪灾风险区。本文说明了与空间发展规划相集成的土地利用冲突分析方法对洪水风险管理的价值。>关键字：土地利用冲突分析；适宜性分析；洪水多发区；灾害管理;空间发展规划；南非。

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